301
FNUS54 KEPZ 281921
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
121 PM MDT Fri Jun 28 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 6 AM MDT
SUNDAY...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

Fire weather concerns remain low through the forecast period.
Monsoonal moisture holds in place, focusing over western areas.
A backdoor front arrives on Saturday, shifting winds to easterly
and becoming breezy behind the front. The mountains and areas
west of the Rio Grande will have the best chances for daily
shower and thunderstorm activity. Temperatures remain near or
above normal through the period, hottest on Saturday.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.




NMZ110-291230-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
121 PM MDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....58-65.
*    Below 7500 ft....66-71.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....54-59 percent.
*    24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 1200,
                      then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....81-89.
*    Below 7500 ft....91-96.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      east in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (96200 knot-ft).

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....58-62.
*    Below 7500 ft....65-70.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....63-68 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........4.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....79-87.
*    Below 7500 ft....88-93.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (134400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 62 to 67. Highs 82 to 87. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 61 to 66. Highs 81 to 86. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 66. Highs 80 to 85. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-291230-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
121 PM MDT Fri Jun 28 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 6 AM MDT
SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....71-76.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........52-57 percent.
*    24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....100-105.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      northeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....North around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (126000 knot-ft).

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Showers likely
                      in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms
                      through the night. Chance of showers after
                      midnight.
* Min temperature.....71-75.
* Max humidity........58-63 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........4.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....95-99.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (150900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 90 to 95. West winds around
5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-291230-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
121 PM MDT Fri Jun 28 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 6 AM MDT
SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....74-79.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........40-45 percent.
*    24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....100-105.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL increasing to 13800 ft AGL in
                      the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (164500 knot-ft).

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                      then slight chance of showers and
                      thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....70-75.
* Max humidity........60-65 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2.
* Haines index........4.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 12100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (151400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 93 to 98. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 75. Highs 94 to 99. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 70 to 75. Highs 93 to 98. West winds around
5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-291230-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
121 PM MDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....58-65.
*    Below 7500 ft....66-71.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....53-60 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....47-52 percent.
*    24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 1200,
                      then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....80-89.
*    Below 7500 ft....90-95.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......9900-11800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (144100 knot-ft).

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....53-58.
*    Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....87-92 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....79-86 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....75-84.
*    Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....29-39 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (124300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
60 to 65. Highs 83 to 88. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 84 to 89. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 82 to 87. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-291230-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
121 PM MDT Fri Jun 28 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....78-84.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........42-47 percent.
*    24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 0300, then 1.
* Haines index........4.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....104-109.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL increasing to 14300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (183500 knot-ft).

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....76-82.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....98-102.
* Min humidity........20-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (166400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Highs 97 to 101. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Highs 98 to 102.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 97 to 101.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-291230-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
121 PM MDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....74-78.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
*    24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 0300, then 1.
* Haines index........4.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....99-104.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph increasing to
                      east around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 13100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (205800 knot-ft).

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....70-75.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 12100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (158700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 93 to 98.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 95 to 100.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 95 to 100.
South winds around 5 mph.

$$

Aronson