Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
024
FNUS54 KEPZ 271915
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
115 PM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 6 AM MDT SUNDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
No significant fire concerns expected through the period. Tonight
will feature good to excellent recoveries as rich monsoonal
moisture remains in place. Temperatures will warm for tomorrow,
which combined with slightly drier air, will lead to lower min RH
values, decreasing to the upper teens in the lowlands. Scattered
mountain and isolated lowland storms are expected. Saturday looks
even warmer and a little drier in the afternoon, with another
round of at least scattered mountain and isolated lowland
thunderstorms. Winds, apart from thunderstorm outflows, will top
out around 10 MPH. Venting will range fair to very good for
Friday, and good to very good for Saturday.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-281300-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
115 PM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-60.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....74-79 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....26-30 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (111300 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....59-64.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....50-55 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....81-86.
* Below 7500 ft....92-97.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....26-30 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....20-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (105900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Numerous showers and thunderstorms. Lows
64 to 69. Highs 86 to 91. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 67. Highs 83 to 88. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 67. Highs 84 to 89. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-281300-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
115 PM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 6 AM MDT
SUNDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........17-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (131300 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....72-77.
* Max humidity........48-53 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....100-105.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL increasing to 13900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (137900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 96 to 100.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 90s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-281300-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
115 PM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 6 AM MDT
SUNDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....70-75.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........61-66 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 12100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79400 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....74-78.
* Max humidity........40-45 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....100-105.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL increasing to 14700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (147800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows
71 to 76. Highs 95 to 100. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 94 to 99. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 96 to 101. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-281300-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
115 PM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....55-60.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....73-78 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....80-85.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (59800 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....59-64.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....55-60 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....80-85.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......9300-11000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (125200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 84 to 89. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 85 to 90. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 87 to 92. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-281300-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
115 PM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 6 AM MDT SUNDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....76-80.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Scattered
thunderstorms and isolated showers after
1200.
* Max temperature.....101-105.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........18-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77900 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....78-82.
* Max humidity........42-47 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 6 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....103-107.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL increasing to 13900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (165700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Highs 98 to 102. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 98 to 102. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Highs 99 to 103. South winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-281300-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
115 PM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....72-76.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........60-65 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (66400 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....73-77.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 6 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2.
* Haines index........3.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 13700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (199400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 70 to 75. Highs 94 to 99. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 94 to 99. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 97 to 102. South winds around
5 mph.
$$