615
FXUS65 KFGZ 250904
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
204 AM MST Wed Sep 25 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Unseasonably warm temperatures and dry conditions will
continue through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...High pressure remains the main weather story for
the rest of the week. The high is centered over the Four Corners
region early this morning. Another day of warm temperatures is
expected with highs around 5 to 10 degrees above the seasonal
averages. Models have keyed on a weak shortwave rotating through the
mid levels this morning. While this may increase moisture ever so
slightly, it still looks like we will be too dry to see any rainfall
as it cross the region. However, this may result in a few more
clouds around through the day.

Over the next day or two, the high will start to slide to the south
and a little to the east becoming centered over New Mexico, before
sliding west and centering over Arizona by Friday. Expect
temperatures to remain well above normal with highs 10-15 degrees
above the seasonal averages. Some slight cooling is expected by the
weekend as the high begins to shift a bit to the north. However, the
warm and dry conditions look to continue into next week. Winds may
increase early next week as trough pushes into California but it
makes little progress towards our area due to the strength of the
high in place.

With the unseasonably warm temperatures across the region, many
places may near or break records over the next several days. Enjoy
the late summer-like temperatures while they last because winter
will be here before we know it!

&&

.AVIATION...Wednesday 25/06Z through Thursday 26/06Z...Expect VFR
conditions. Northeasterly winds each night in favored areas just SW
of higher terrain. Winds for Wednesday turning light S/SE 5-15kts.

OUTLOOK...Thursday 26/06Z through Saturday 28/06Z...Expect VFR
conditions and light winds, generally less than 15kts.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Today and Thursday...High temperatures 7-15 degrees
above normal will continue today and tomorrow. Expect minimum RH
values to remain between 10-25% both afternoons, and winds generally
out of the south at 5-15 mph.

Friday through Sunday...Afternoon temperatures 10-15 degrees above
normal will continue through the weekend, along with mostly dry
conditions. Variable winds 5-15 mph forecast for Friday and
Saturday, becoming more W-SW on Sunday. Minimum RH values 10-20%
each day.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Meola
AVIATION...Peterson
FIRE WEATHER...Konieczny

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff