766
FNUS75 KFGZ 170850
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Sayer Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
150 AM MST Mon Jun 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST
THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Critical fire weather conditions expected today with
near-single digit RH and gusty southwest winds. Winds will begin
to increase after 0900, with the strongest gusts expected this
afternoon and early this evening. Winds should begin to subside
after 1900, becoming light overnight. Winds shift westerly on
Tuesday, but remain breezy along with slightly increased RH
values. Dry weather with seasonable temperatures is otherwise
expected through Tuesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....81-83 degrees.
Min humidity........10-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 45 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......3463.
Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 knots increasing to 30 to 35
                    knots in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....45-47 degrees.
Max humidity........44-47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......7.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots decreasing to around
                    10 knots in the late evening and overnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....79-81 degrees.
Min humidity........15-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph, gusts up to 20 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2016.
Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots increasing to around
                    20 knots in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...HUMPHREYS
Requested by...Andrew Giralt
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416276.1/FGZ
.DELDT 06/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL andrewgiralt714@gmail.com,andrew.giralt@usda.gov