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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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665 FXUS64 KFWD 290747 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 247 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 ...New Long Term... .SHORT TERM... /Issued 1241 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ /Through Sunday/ As high pressure remains the dominant feature, another hot day is expected across our region. All of North and Central Texas is now under a Heat Advisory or an Excessive Heat Warning, with the hottest and most dangerous conditions expected within the Excessive Heat Warning. Temperatures this afternoon will climb into the mid 90s to around 102 with heat index values topping out closer to 112. Caution should be taken if you are planning on spending time outdoors today. Those who are most at risk will be the heat-sensitive groups as well as those who will be actively exposed to the sun for a long duration of time. Remember to stay hydrated, seek a cool place to take a break from the heat as well as wear light- colored clothing! Tonight, temperatures will remain in the mid to upper 70s across the region. The urban heat island effect will keep temperatures in the 80s within the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex. A stalled weak front across Oklahoma will likely lead to a few showers and storms well north of our region, with a few boundaries likely pushing closer to the Red River late in the afternoon. Although convection will likely be limited by the subsident air aloft, an isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out mainly across far northeast TX. Temperatures tomorrow are likely to be 1-2 degrees cooler compared to today with heat index values mostly below 108 degrees. The Excessive Heat Warning is unlikely to continue into Sunday, however, the Heat Advisory may be extended for parts of our region for tomorrow afternoon. Hernandez && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Sunday Night Through Next Week/ Widespread triple digit temperatures will continue throughout the week, with the hottest temperatures expected on Tuesday. Heat index values will be between 103-110 degrees each day, but >110 degrees should be less common than we experienced this week. Heat headlines will continue throughout the week for most (if not all) areas. There are some early indications that the ridge responsible for our hot and quiet weather will weaken and shift further west late next week. As a result, rain chances will return late in the week and potentially continue into next weekend. While most of the rain would occur Friday onward, it`s worth monitoring the forecast if you have any outdoor plans for the July 4th holiday, as timing is certainly subject to change over the next several days. Barnes && .AVIATION... /Issued 1241 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ /06Z TAFs/ VFR and southerly winds are ongoing at this time but this will be changing as we get closer to sunrise. Southerly low-level winds will help draw a plume of stratus northward, impacting KACT first, then all of the DFW TAF sites. Intermittent MVFR is expected between 11-14Z at KACT and 13-15Z across North Texas. The low ceilings will improve during the late morning hours, leaving behind VFR with continued southerly winds generally below 15 knots. Hernandez && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 99 81 98 81 100 / 0 5 5 5 5 Waco 99 78 97 78 99 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 96 78 95 76 95 / 0 5 20 5 10 Denton 100 79 99 78 100 / 0 5 5 5 5 McKinney 98 80 98 79 99 / 0 5 10 5 5 Dallas 99 81 99 81 100 / 0 5 5 5 5 Terrell 96 78 96 78 97 / 0 5 5 5 5 Corsicana 98 78 98 79 100 / 5 5 5 5 5 Temple 99 77 97 76 100 / 0 5 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 99 77 99 77 100 / 0 5 5 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ091>095-100>107-116>123-131>135-144>148-159-161-162. Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ115-129-130- 141>143-156>158-160-174-175. && $$