384
FNUS74 KFWD 211406
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Hoot Fire...TAMFS
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
906 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 CDT on September 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
An abnormally warm Saturday is in store with current temperatures
near 80 degrees quickly rising into the mid- to upper 90s later
this afternoon. Dry conditions with minimum relative humidity in
the 35-40% range are expected this afternoon. South winds
generally below 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 15 mph will
persist through the day under mostly sunny skies.

Temperatures will fall into the mid-70s later tonight with light
south winds and overnight RH recovery to 85-90%. No precipitation
or sudden wind shifts are expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  25  7   3   11  14  6   14  5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............82  87  91  94  96  96  98  97  97
RH..............69  59  52  44  42  40  37  38  38
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.9   10  12  13  13  13  13  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 2.1 4.2 5.4 6.5 7.2 7.5 7.6 7.4
Transp wind dir.S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  13  13  13  13  14  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming south around 5
                    mph overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   17  17  9   4   8   32  27  21  47  32  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............96  92  86  83  82  82  80  80  79  78  75  75
RH..............38  44  55  61  65  65  69  72  74  74  82  82
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.12  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...6.8 1.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  12  10  12  12  13  13  13  15  15  15  15
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  25  28  34  23  37  34  47  32  23  25  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............74  74  75  79  84  87  89  91  93  94  94  92
RH..............84  87  87  79  65  55  50  45  41  39  37  39
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  12  13  14  14  14  14  14  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.9 2.0 3.0 4.2 5.3 6.4 6.7 6.9 7.2 5.1
Transp wind dir.S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  14  15  17  18  17  16  14  14  13  13  12
Haines index....4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Langfeld
Requested by...Robin Collins
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422824.0/FWD
.DELDT 09/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu