278
FNUS75 KGJT 261414
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Carpenter Ridge RX...BLM
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
814 AM MDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on September 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Mainly clear and dry conditions as the ridge overhead
keeps temperatures well above normal to end out the week. Winds look
a bit tricky today with a passing wave with higher resolution models
turning them more to the North this afternoon...so did lean this way.
Winds stay North to Northeast on Friday as well. Low end fair smoke
dispersal in forecast for Friday due to light winds aloft.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....76-81.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light upslope becomes Southwest 7 to 12 mph then
                    shifting to the North by mid afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to very good by peak heating.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 10000 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 mph by 1000 then Northwest by 1300.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
Max humidity........37-42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0-29000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to less than 500 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....77-82.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North to Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair by peak heating but poor most of morning.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 8700 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Dennis Phillips
Requested by...Brennon Ellis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423079.0/GJT
.DELDT 09/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jwroblewski@blm.gov,mmegel@blm.gov,bellis@blm.gov,jchynoweth@blm.gov