015
FNUS75 KGJT 171851
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Gut...Montrose Interagency Dispatch
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1251 PM MDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 MDT on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Strong southwest winds will continue this afternoon
and evening ahead of a cold front that will move through the area
this evening. This front will come through dry so no precipitation
is expected, just wind. Winds relax after midnight tonight with a
brief cooldown on Tuesday and less wind, although breezy
conditions will still occur at times.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....77-82.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Upslope/upvalley winds (southwest at ridgetops)
                    12 to 18 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 11400 ft AGL by peak heating in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 37 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....42-47.
Max humidity........50-55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 12 to 18 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph in
                    the evening. Becoming downslope/downvalley 8 to 12
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent decreasing to poor (15000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......11200 ft AGL decreasing to 1000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 38 mph becoming west 18 mph
                    overnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley 4 to 8 mph until 1000, then
                    becoming upslope/upvalley (west at ridgetops) 8 to
                    12 mph with gusts to around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to excellent in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 9100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Matt Aleksa
Requested by...Jesse Dudley
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416210.1/GJT
.DELDT 06/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jesse.dudley@usda.gov