451
FNUS53 KGRR 191936
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
336 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

...Continued Very Warm with Isolated Storms...

.DISCUSSION...The very warm air mass will continue this
evening. However a cold front will drop down from the north
into parts of the region for Thursday. We could see some
isolated storms as a result.  A southerly flow will
strengthen by the weekend and the entire region will once
again see hot conditions with gusty winds, especially Saturday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-200815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
336 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2700-3200
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....140-430 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3600-4100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....250 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.26 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1800-2300
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-140 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........66-71 percent near Lake Michigan and 57-62
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and
                    unchanged Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4300-4800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....310-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.30 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-200815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
336 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 800-1300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....140-460 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....240-290 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.20 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....260-340 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.29 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-200815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
336 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1800-2300
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....70-170 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5000-5500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....360-460 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.33 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1300-1800
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....87-92.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4800-5300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-530 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.28 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-200815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
336 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 800-1300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the northeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....160-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....85-90.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....260-330 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.33 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....85-90.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.31 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-200815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
336 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....60-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.18 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....290-340 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.55 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....30-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.33 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....87-92.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-520 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.83 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Light winds becoming south
5 to 6 mph overnight.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds
6 to 11 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 7 to
12 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s.

$$