Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
354
FNUS52 KILM 241904
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
304 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
.DISCUSSION...
More unsettled weather should return late week as we see at least
some fringe effects from low pressure tracking northward from the
Gulf of Mexico. High pressure should dry out the area over the
weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-251115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
304 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 69 86 70 83
Max/Min RH (%) 99 67 99 75
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 E 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/1000 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 3400
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SE 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50700 57800
ADI Early 21 Fair 40 Fair 21 Fair 36 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 33 Fair 7 Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 7 6 6
Max LVORI Late 6 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 7 6 Fog
Turner Stability F C E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 82 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
73 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-251115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
304 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 40
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 2 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 69 86 70 83
Max/Min RH (%) 100 67 100 73
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var E 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3300
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SE 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48100 56100
ADI Early 23 Fair 44 Gen Good 24 Fair 35 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 39 Fair 6 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 9 6 8
Max LVORI Late 9 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Fog 6 Fog
Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 6 Fog 7
Turner Stability E C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-251115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
304 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 50
Precip Type None None Showers Tstms
LAL 1 1 2 3
Min/Max Temp 69 85 71 82
Max/Min RH (%) 100 67 98 78
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SE 4 E 5 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 6 SE 4 SE 9 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31
Precip Duration 0 2
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/1000 1900 74/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 4 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 2700
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54600 54000
ADI Early 28 Fair 43 Gen Good 28 Fair 38 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 38 Fair 9 Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 9 5 6
Max LVORI Late 8 3 6 4
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 6 Fog 7
Turner Stability F C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around
15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
71 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 76 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-251115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
304 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 50
Precip Type None None Showers Tstms
LAL 2 2 1 3
Min/Max Temp 69 86 70 82
Max/Min RH (%) 100 62 100 78
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var SE 4 E 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var E 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.52
Precip Duration 0 2
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 2700
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 48600
ADI Early 26 Fair 50 Gen Good 30 Fair 37 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 43 Gen Good 9 Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 9 6 8
Max LVORI Late 9 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 3 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 6 Fog 7
Turner Stability E C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
69 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$