Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
709
FNUS52 KILM 240753
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
353 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A weak cold front will bring showers and strong storms today. This
boundary will lift back to the north through the midweek lowering
rain prospects and continuing the heat. Widespread showers and
storms expected Thursday with another front and upper level
disturbance.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-250000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
353 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 50 50 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 4 4 1
Max/Min Temp 97 70 92
Min/Max RH (%) 45 97 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 8 G19 SW 4 E 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G17 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.16 0.10 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 5 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0700 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 5600
Transport Wind (mph) W 20 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 124000 67200
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 25 Fair 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 82 Good 5 Very Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-250000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
353 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 3 1
Max/Min Temp 96 70 95
Min/Max RH (%) 45 96 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 6 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.11 0.05 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 0
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 7300
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 117000 65700
ADI Early 61 Good 37 Fair 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 131 Very Good4 Very Poor 69 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-250000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
353 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 50 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 3 1
Max/Min Temp 97 71 93
Min/Max RH (%) 41 97 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.04 0.12 0.03
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0800 2000 74/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7800 5400
Transport Wind (mph) W 21 E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 163800 54000
ADI Early 64 Good 38 Fair 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 140 Very Good5 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-250000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
353 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 3 1
Max/Min Temp 96 71 96
Min/Max RH (%) 42 96 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 6 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.06 0.04 0.04
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 3 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 7500
Transport Wind (mph) W 20 E 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 146000 60000
ADI Early 69 Good 58 Gen Good 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 124 Very Good4 Very Poor 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of thunderstorms
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$