Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
276
FNUS52 KILM 210711
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
311 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure sfc and aloft will dominate this weekend and into
the middle of next week. A mid-level impulse will pass just north
of the area late tonight and Sun with any pcpn remaining north of
the region. Otherwise looking at dry conditions and seasonable
temps this weekend into next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-212315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
311 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 85 63 86
Min/Max RH (%) 52 99 63
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0900 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4100
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45000 41000
ADI Early 32 Fair 12 Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 53 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
72 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
73 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-212315-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
311 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 85 64 87
Min/Max RH (%) 49 100 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0900 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4000
Transport Wind (mph) NE 9 W 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39600 36000
ADI Early 24 Fair 12 Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 48 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-212315-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
311 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 85 65 87
Min/Max RH (%) 49 98 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 1900 75/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 3900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 7 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 29400 39000
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 15 Gen Poor 31 Fair
ADI Late 34 Fair 5 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 7
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-212315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
311 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 85 64 87
Min/Max RH (%) 51 100 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 12 W 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56400 44100
ADI Early 27 Fair 19 Gen Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 56 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 8
Max LVORI Late 1 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-212315-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
311 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 85 63 88
Min/Max RH (%) 50 100 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 75/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 9 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44100 49000
ADI Early 25 Fair 27 Fair 30 Fair
ADI Late 53 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-212315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
311 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 85 65 88
Min/Max RH (%) 53 98 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 1900 75/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4700
Transport Wind (mph) NE 7 NW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 29400 47000
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 17 Gen Poor 30 Fair
ADI Late 34 Fair 5 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 7
Max LVORI Late 3 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
dch