Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
266
FNUS52 KILM 261850
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
250 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid conditions continue for much of this week and into
the weekend. Isolated showers and storms are possible each day
with a better chance of storms on Thursday ahead of another front
and upper level disturbance.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-271100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
250 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 50 50 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 4 4 3
Min/Max Temp 74 96 71 92
Max/Min RH (%) 98 53 99 61
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 7 G17 SW 5 S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 S 6 Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.33 0.28 0.08
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 80/0800 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 3
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 85400 63600
ADI Early 63 Good 44 Gen Good 37 Fair 39 Fair
ADI Late 12 Poor 54 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 6 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability D B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 92 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-271100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
250 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 60 60 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 4 4 3
Min/Max Temp 74 97 72 93
Max/Min RH (%) 99 46 98 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.33 0.26 0.10
Precip Duration 2 3 2
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 78/0800 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7200 6300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 93600 63000
ADI Early 70 Good 34 Fair 32 Fair 39 Fair
ADI Late 10 Poor 72 Good 4 Very Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 6 7
Max LVORI Late 6 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability E B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-271100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
250 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 40 50 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 3 4 3
Min/Max Temp 75 97 72 92
Max/Min RH (%) 97 48 99 61
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 7 G17 SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 SW 5 G17 Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.29 0.28 0.09
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 80/0800 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 3
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 4900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96600 58800
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 43 Gen Good 32 Fair 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 75 Good 4 Very Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 8
Max LVORI Late 6 2 8 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-271100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
250 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 50 50 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 4 4 3
Min/Max Temp 74 96 72 94
Max/Min RH (%) 97 46 97 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 SW 4 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.32 0.29 0.11
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0800 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7600 6300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98800 63000
ADI Early 69 Good 39 Fair 35 Fair 38 Fair
ADI Late 7 Poor 88 Good 4 Very Poor 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 8
Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...7