945
FNUS53 KLBF 200819
FWFLBF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western
and North Central for Nebraska
National Weather Service North Platte NE
319 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Elevated to near-critical fire weather conditions are anticipated
Friday, mainly for the Sandhills into the eastern Panhandle.

High pressure will settle east of the area through the day Friday,
allowing southerly winds to return and increase. This southerly
flow will also bolster daytime highs with values in the upper 80s
to lower 90s or 10 to 20 degrees above normal. Dry air will
overspread the Panhandle and western Sandhills and push humidity
minimums into the middle teens in the vicinity of the Pine Ridge
to 20 to 30 percent elsewhere. Limiting concerns today will be the
belt of stronger winds displaced ahead of a surface trough (east)
of the driest air. Forecast soundings show deep mixing exceeding
3km across the area but flow aloft weakening with westward extent.
This lends lower confidence in seeing the stronger winds
effectively translate to the surface. While localized brief
periods of critical conditions are possible across Zones
204/206/208, prolonged periods are not expected. Even so,
conditions will still be favorable for difficult fire containment.

A storm system will skirt the area from the southeast over the
weekend, bringing rain chances to much of the area. Recent trends
in forecast guidance has decreased coverage of wetting rains (>
0.25") but portions of southwest through central Nebraska is still
progged to see amounts exceeding a half-inch. Precipitation will
favor Saturday night and early Sunday, with much cooler
temperatures expected each day as a result. The extended pattern
will favor moderating temperatures for the start of the work week
next week with a return to seasonable or above normal values by
Wednesday. Though this may lead to a return of fire weather
concerns, no one day appears likely to meet critical values.

NEZ204-202345-
Eastern Panhandle/Crescent Lake NWR-
219 AM MDT Fri Sep 20 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........14 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-2500 ft AGL until 1200, then 2500-10800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........94 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest
                    after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-9600 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the northwest
                    after midnight.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. North 15 to 25 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......600-3100 ft AGL until 1200, then 3000-4800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 25 to 30 mph.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 70s.

$$

NEZ210-202345-
Frenchman Basin-
319 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024 /219 AM MDT Fri Sep 20 2024/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-2100 ft AGL until 1200, then 2600-7600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......400-6500 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. North 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-2900 ft AGL until 1200, then 3200-5100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 25 mph.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Much cooler. Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s. North winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 70s.

$$

NEZ206-202345-
Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska National Forest-
319 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024 /219 AM MDT Fri Sep 20 2024/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........20 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-2200 ft AGL until 1200, then 2900-8900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-8400 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the
                    morning. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. North 15 to 25 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......500-3000 ft AGL until 1200, then 3100-4400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 30 mph.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 70s.

$$

NEZ219-202345-
Loess Plains-
319 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South up to 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-1800 ft AGL until 1200, then 2300-5900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-5000 ft AGL until 2400, then 400-500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast 15
                    to 20 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......400-2800 ft AGL until 1200, then 3000-4800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 25 mph.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Much cooler. Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the mid 50s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
around 40. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s.

$$

NEZ208-202345-
Niobrara Valley/Fort Niobrara NWR/Samuel R McKelvie National
Forest-
319 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024 /219 AM MDT Fri Sep 20 2024/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........18 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South up to 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......400-2300 ft AGL until 1200, then 3200-10300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........79 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-9600 ft AGL until 2400, then 500-600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the
                    morning. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 20 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......500-3000 ft AGL until 1200, then 3200-4400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 25 to 30 mph.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with slight chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 80s.

$$

NEZ209-202345-
Loup Rivers Basin-
319 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........23 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South up to 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......400-2100 ft AGL until 1200, then 2500-6500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......500-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the
                    morning. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 20 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Mixing height.......500-2900 ft AGL until 1200, then 3000-4000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 25 mph.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 70s.

$$