Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
515 FXUS65 KLKN 182021 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 121 PM PDT Wed Sep 18 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Upper level low pressure will move south and along the west coast into central California tonight into tomorrow. Accumulating rainfall from this second storm will be less widespread and mainly in western and central portions of the region. Thursday will be somewhat drier in central and east central Nevada though chances for shower and thunderstorm activity will remain over the northern areas of the state. Friday morning the low passes to the south ahead of a quieter weekend ahead. && .SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday night. Current radar loop is showing echoes developing across central Nevada at this time with isolated buildups across portions of Humboldt county. Any precipitation amounts are expected to remain light today. The forecast area is sitting under a deformation axis at this time with upper low pressure forecast to be off the coast of California. Some light showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible during the evening with overnight lows in the 40s. The upper low is forecast to slide slowly onshore tonight and into tomorrow with a position across central California by dawn. Isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop in the latter portions of the morning. the best chances continue across central Nevada with highs in the highs warming into the 60s and 70s. Winds will remain light. Precipitation chances will wane during the late afternoon and evening hours though clouds are expected to remain. Overnight lows will be in the 30s and 40s. .LONG TERM...Friday through next Wednesday. A low pressure system will slowly exit the region Friday with lingering showers mainly in Nye County and southern Lander, Eureka, and White Pine Counties. Highs will be in the upper 60s and lower 70s with lows in the mid 30s and lower 40s under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Dry weather along with breezy northwest winds return this weekend. By early to mid next week, a ridge of high pressure builds over the western U.S. Highs will warm into the upper 70s and lower 80s with lows in the 40s under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions and light winds are expected at all terminals over the next 24 hours. A low pressure system moving southward along the west coast will bring scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across central and northern NV. Thunderstorm probability will be less than 15% south of KWMC, KBAM, and KEKO, and north of KTPH. VCSH for most of the TAF sites will continue until this evening. Showers expected to diminish tonight with VFR conditions and light winds persisting through Thursday. && .FIRE WEATHER...Another fall-like storm system will move east across southern Nevada. This will bring light rainfall accumulations over portions of the fire district. Amounts will be less than the last system with low chances for wetting rains. By Friday, the system will be exiting the area with just isolated to scattered showers possible over the east-central parts of the forecast area. Look for mainly sunny skies for the upcoming weekend with seasonable temperatures. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 86/90/90/86