Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Graphics & Text |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
769
FNUS76 KLOX 171940
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Tanbark Rx...USFS ANF
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
1240 PM PDT Mon Jun 17 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Low confidence in the wind and RH forecast Tuesday
morning with winds possibly being +/- 8 mph and RH +/- 15 percent
from advertised values due to tight gradient associated with gusty
north winds riding atop the nearby marine layer. Mixing height
may also be off by 1K feet or more during this period.

Moderate confidence by the afternoon with a sea breeze potentially
supporting an increase in RH should the drier morning solution
win out. Increased smoke and haze from the Post Fire may modestly
cool daytime highs and raise minimum RH compared to forecast or
lead to reduced night time cooling with less in the way of RH
recovery.

Transition to more typical June weather on tap for the remainder
of the week with a slight cool down midweek followed by a
significant warming and drying trend starting as early as Thursday
and more likely Friday through Sunday with daytime highs
potentially reaching the mid to upper 80s and minimum RH as low
as around 20 percent.

.TUESDAY...
TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  14  14  14  14  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  61  63  66  69  71  72  74  76  77  77  76
RH..............39  40  46  42  38  35  31  28  28  27  25  28
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  SE  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   5   5   7   7   7   8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.                                10  10  10  8
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.                                6   6   6   5
Ridge wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..5   5   9   8   8   9   9   9   11  11  10   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.6 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.12  10  9   7   5   3   3   5   6   7   8   8

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
TIME (PDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........13        13        10        10
Weather cov.....DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....SMOKE     SMOKE     SMOKE     SMOKE
Tstm cov........
Temp............74        61        57        56
RH..............32        61        65        64
20 FT wind......SW 7G8    W 3       NW 1      NW 1
Eye level wind..SW 4G5    W 2       NW 1      NW 1
Ridgetop wind...SW5G8     W 4       NW 3      N 3
Mix hgt (ft)....2700      1100      800       800
Transport wind..SW 7      SW 3      W 2       W 2

.JUNETEENTH...
TIME (PDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........37        37        18        18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............54        68        73        76
RH..............61        52        38        34
20 FT wind......N 2G3     SW 2G3    SW 6G9    SW 8G13
Eye level wind..N 1G2     SW 1G2    SW 4G5    SW 5G8
Ridgetop wind...N 2       SW 2      SW 5G8    SW 7G12
Mix hgt (ft)....1000      2300      4100      4400
Transport wind..W 2       SW 3      SW 6      SW 7

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
TIME (PDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........4         4         8         8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............72        58        56        54
RH..............45        78        73        72
20 FT wind......SW 8G13   SW 6G9    SW 2G3    W 2G3
Eye level wind..SW 5G8    SW 4G5    SW 1G2    W 1G2
Ridgetop wind...SW 7g10   SW 5G7    SW 3      W 2
Mix hgt (ft)....2900      1000      700       900
Transport wind..SW 7      SW 3      SW 2      NW 2


$$
Forecaster...MUNROE
Requested by...Art Lozano
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416165.1/LOX
.DELDT 06/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL arturo.lozano@usda.gov