970
FXUS64 KMAF 241713
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1213 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 130 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

There isn`t much to say that hasn`t been said already about this
week. Temperatures will climb to the upper 90s and lower 100s this
afternoon nearly everywhere minus the higher terrain. While not hot
enough yet for heat products, you should still take plenty of breaks
from the sun and drink lots of water. An isolated storm or two is
possible in the Davis Mountains, but it stays dry elsewhere.

Very little changes Tuesday regarding temperatures with highs likely
a couple of degrees hotter. Monsoonal moisture will pool to our west
and with daytime heating expect isolated storms to develop further
north into the Guadalupe and Sacramento Mountains by afternoon.
Given a dry subcloud layer, gusty winds will be possible with any
storm.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 130 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Upper ridging will begin to flatten across the South midweek, but
hot temperatures will remain in place. Nearly everyone could reach
100 Wednesday except for the higher terrain. Heat products will be
possible, especially for the Rio Grande where temperatures look to
climb near 110 degrees. Storm chances continue to trend upward out
west Wednesday as a disturbance looks to move across the higher
terrain out of Mexico. At least scattered showers and storms can be
expected; some with locally heavy rain.

The upper ridge expands late in the week stretching across the
entire southern U.S. Temperatures each afternoon will remain similar
with highs generally near or above 100 for most; cooler in the
mountains. Monsoonal moisture will continue across western areas
where subsidence is less leading to a daily occurrence of
scattered showers and storms into the weekend. Model guidance is
somewhat split, but a weak front could makes its way into the TX
PH this weekend. If storms form along this front, it could push it
further south than models indicate now. Will monitor for better
rain chances and slightly cooler temperatures!

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

VFR VIS and CIG prevail throughout TAF period. Winds become
intermittently gusty this afternoon and increase in speed this
evening beginning 23Z at FST and by 03Z-04Z at all terminals.
Winds remain gusty until end of the period at MAF, but decrease in
speed by 10Z-11Z Tuesday at other terminals in SE NM plains,
western Permian Basin, and Reeves County Plains into lower Trans
Pecos.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               77 101  77 102 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 76 104  78 102 /   0  10  10  30
Dryden                   75  99  75  99 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            75 103  76 100 /   0   0   0  10
Guadalupe Pass           74  96  75  93 /  10  20  20  40
Hobbs                    72 101  74 100 /   0   0  10  10
Marfa                    65  97  67  97 /  10  20  20  40
Midland Intl Airport     75 100  76 100 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   75 100  76 100 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     77 105  79 104 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...94