956
FXUS64 KMAF 250817
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
317 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 210 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

The cold front that will usher in the return of a quiet and dry
pattern is currently marching south through the Permian Basin
early this morning. This front should reach the I-10 corridor
around sunrise before clearing the rest of the region by early
afternoon. Behind this front, a cooler and drier continental
airmass is filtering in to the southern Great Plains replacing the
warmer, moist airmass. Temperatures this morning remain mild
across much of the region, despite the front, with 60s expected
for most the area. Though, continued weak cold air advection
brings afternoon temperatures down about 5 degrees from yesterday.
Near normal temperatures in the 80s can be expected for all but
the Rio Grande Valley, which remains hot with temperatures in the
90s. A cooler morning is expected tomorrow with upper 50s likely
for many. Thursday afternoon should be nearly a carbon copy to
this afternoon, though temperatures may be just a touch warmer.

-Chehak

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 210 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Upper level high pressure will remain in place over the Four
Corners into early next week. The high interacts with low pressure
over the lower Mississippi River valley to keep West Texas and
eastern New Mexico in dry northerly flow. Such a pattern means no
rain chances with temperatures varying only a few degrees,
remaining pretty close to climatological norms. An upper trough
transiting the U.S./Canada border pushes a front south into the
area next Tuesday that may be the next feature to affect our
weather bringing in cooler temperatures.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

A cold front is sagging south through the region, resulting in a
northerly to northeasterly wind shift at CNM and HOB. Elsewhere,
winds are currently light and southerly. This cold front and
associated wind shift should reach MAF and INK around 08Z with
PEQ and FST following around 12Z. Outside of this wind shift,
skies remain mostly clear with VFR conditions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               84  58  85  59 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 87  60  89  61 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   91  61  88  61 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            88  58  86  60 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           79  59  83  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    84  56  86  58 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    83  53  84  54 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     84  58  85  60 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   85  60  86  62 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     89  61  88  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...91
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...91