Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 172307
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Spot Forecast for Boy Scout Camp Rx...National Park Service
National Weather Service Miami FL
707 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on June 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Breezy easterly winds at the burn site on Tuesday with frequent
gusts over 20 mph. Quick moving showers and isolated thunderstorms
are possible, primarily during the afternoon. Relative humidity
values could drop as low as 50 percent Tuesday afternoon.
Dispersion today will be generally good, becoming very good during
the afternoon.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 16 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....43 increasing to 68.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  49  48  43  36  31  31  34  38
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
Temp............83  87  88  89  90  90  91  91  90
RH..............76  66  62  57  54  50  50  52  55
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  12  12  12  12  12  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.16  18  18  18  18  18  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.9 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.16  18  20  20  20  18  18  17  17
Dispersion idx..43  58  71  72  72  70  68  66  63
LVORI...........3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....53 decreasing to 9.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........40  40  22  32  24  32  27  26  31  33  32  32
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............89  87  84  82  82  81  80  81  79  78  77  76
RH..............61  65  71  76  79  80  85  83  85  87  90  92
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..13  12  9   8   8   8   7   6   6   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.20  18  15  14  13  12  10  9   9   9   9   10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 2.4 1.6 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.16  16  15  14  13  13  12  12  10  10  12  12
Dispersion idx..53  43  12  10  9   9   8   7   6   6   6   8
LVORI...........1   1   3   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   6   5

.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1100, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 74.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........33     37     38     43     49     43
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).30     50     50     50     60     60
LAL.............2      2      2      3      3      3
Temp............78     80     85     87     87     87
RH..............89     85     70     60     55     60
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..8      8      10     12     12     13
20 FT wind gust.12     14     17     18     18     20
Mix hgt (ft)....900    1500   3200   3800   3400   3900
Transport wind..E 12   E 14   E 16   E 18   E 17   E 20
Dispersion idx..8      29     56     66     63     72
LVORI...........5      4      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Culver
Requested by...Chris Hericks
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416235.1/MFL
.DELDT 06/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0