Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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916
FNUS72 KMFL 171706
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for LPK Rx...NPS
National Weather Service Miami FL
106 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EDT on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered quick-moving showers and isolated thunderstorms will be
near the site through about 4 PM. Wind east near 15 mph with gusts
over 20 mph through 6 PM, then east 10-15 mph this evening and
tonight. Relative humidity values could drop to as low as 55
percent this afternoon before recovering later this afternoon and
evening. Dispersion this afternoon will be in the generally good
range, occasionally reaching very good levels.

Similar weather conditions expected on Tuesday, with perhaps a
slightly later start to the precipitation window.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Chance of
                    showers through the day. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1400, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1700, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 13 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 21 mph.
Dispersion index....54.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  64  63  62  61
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  40  40  40  40
LAL.............2   3   3   3   2
Temp............90  90  90  90  89
RH..............62  63  62  61  63
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..13  13  14  14  13
20 FT wind gust.20  20  21  21  20
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.20  21  21  21  21
Dispersion idx..52  53  53  53  55
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the evening, then slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1900, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....44 decreasing to 14 early in the evening.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........60  59  59  61  64  65  63  59  53  47  41  38
Weather cov.....CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   10  0   0
LAL.............2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............88  86  83  82  82  81  79  78  78  78  78  77
RH..............63  65  72  74  75  78  82  85  85  82  85  87
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..13  12  9   8   8   8   8   7   6   6   7   8
20 FT wind gust.20  18  15  14  14  14  12  10  9   9   10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 2.1 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.20  18  16  15  14  14  13  13  13  13  13  13
Dispersion idx..48  39  17  14  13  12  12  11  10  10  11  10
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1700, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 22 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 42 late in the morning increasing
                    to 58 late in the morning increasing to 70
                    decreasing to 63 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........37     42     49     43     30     32
Weather cov.....                                   S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                                   S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     10     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............77     80     87     89     90     91
RH..............87     87     68     63     63     60
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..8      8      12     12     12     13
20 FT wind gust.12     14     18     18     18     20
Mix hgt (ft)....600    900    2900   4000   4300   4000
Transport wind..E 13   E 15   E 18   E 20   E 18   E 17
Dispersion idx..10     22     58     73     71     66
LVORI...........5      4      2      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Molleda
Requested by...Dylan Scott
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416223.2/MFL
.DELDT 06/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0