228
FNUS72 KMLB 270918
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Triple N Ranch WMA - Units 11, 64, 15...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
518 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on June 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Southwest winds expected across the burn site today, around 5 to 10
mph. Offshore winds should remain strong enough to keep the east
coast sea breeze east of the burn site, but scattered showers and
storms forecast into the afternoon may produce gusty and variable
winds as they move east to northeast across the region. No minimum
RH concerns forecast, with Very Good dispersion values expected.

Hot and humid conditions forecast to continue today, with a high in
the low 90s this afternoon and peak heat index values around
102-104.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon, then showers
                    and thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1200, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1300, then 9-15 strikes until 1700, then 16-25
                    strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 57 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 65 in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 52 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............9 early decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  31  35  39  43  46  49  53  55  56  58
Weather cov.....                    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   10  20  30  40  50  50  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   2   3   3   3   3   4
Temp............75  77  80  85  88  88  89  90  89  90  90
RH..............99  97  87  75  69  67  63  62  64  60  59
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.8   8   9   12  13  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.7 1.8 3.2 3.8 3.9 4.1 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   9   10  12  13  14  13  14  13  13  12
Dispersion idx..3   8   23  44  57  64  65  65  62  60  52
LVORI...........9   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2000, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....32 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........57     55     50     43     35     36
Weather cov.....CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).50     10     10     0      0      0
LAL.............3      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............88     86     81     79     77     76
RH..............63     69     79     85     90     94
20 ft wind......SW 8   SW 6   SW 6   SW 5   SW 5   SW 3
20 ft wind gust.12     9      9      7      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....2200   900    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..SW 12  SW 10  SW 9   SW 10  SW 9   SW 8
Dispersion idx..32     8      7      6      4      4
LVORI...........1      3      4      4      6      6

$$
Forecaster...Weitlich
Requested by...Jared Draxler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416757.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jared.draxler@myfwc.com