Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
432
FNUS72 KMLB 281035
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for C-266-001 Maple Grove Continued...USFS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
635 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Light west to southwest winds around 5 mph will mostly persist today.
A few showers and an isolated storm may develop into the late morning,
with scattered to numerous showers and storms developing across the
area this afternoon. Gusty and variable winds possible in the vicinity
of any storms that develop. Weaker transport winds today will lead to
poor to fair dispersion values.
Hot and humid conditions forecast to continue today, with a high
in the low 90s this afternoon and peak heat index values around
105.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
the afternoon, then showers and thunderstorms
likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1000, then 1-8 strikes until
1300, then 9-15 strikes until 1500, then 16-25
strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
late in the afternoon, then becoming light late
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the late morning
and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL late in
the morning, then decreasing to 1800 ft AGL
late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 30 late in the morning, then
increasing to 35 in the early afternoon
decreasing to 20 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 4 in the late morning.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30 29 41 46 52 60 69 70 70 73
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 20 20 20 30 50 60 70 70
LAL.............1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4
Temp............78 81 84 87 87 88 90 92 90 88
RH..............94 85 80 72 70 68 64 60 64 68
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW SE
20 FT wind spd..1 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 3
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 8 9 10 12 12 12 10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.8 2.8 3.4 3.4 3.6 4.1 3.4 2.7 1.8
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW W
Transp wind spd.7 8 8 7 7 7 7 8 8 6
Dispersion idx..8 19 29 30 35 35 34 30 24 16
LVORI...........6 4 3 3 3 3 1 2 2 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
the evening. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................16-25 strikes until 2000, then 9-15 strikes
until 2200, then 1-8 strikes until 2400, then
No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....6.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 8.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........75 75 77 66 59 51
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).70 30 20 10 10 0
LAL.............4 3 2 1 1 1
Temp............87 84 79 78 78 75
RH..............68 74 88 91 91 97
20 ft wind......E 3 SE 2 S 1 S 1 S 1 N 0
20 ft wind gust.10 7 6 3 5 3
Mix hgt (ft)....1200 700 600 400 800 400
Transport wind..SE 6 SE 8 S 8 S 8 S 7 S 5
Dispersion idx..10 4 4 3 3 2
LVORI...........3 3 6 6 6 8
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 9-15 strikes until
1400, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL late in
the morning, then decreasing to 1800 ft AGL
late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the south.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 19 late in the morning, then
increasing to 30 early in the afternoon
increasing to 34 late in the afternoon
decreasing to 23.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 7 early in the morning, then
decreasing to 5 late in the morning decreasing
to 3 late in the morning decreasing to 2
increasing to 3 late in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........41 37 53 70
Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).0 40 40 70
LAL.............1 3 3 4
Temp............75 80 88 89
RH..............100 91 71 64
20 FT wind......N 0G2 SW 1G3 E 2G8 E 3G10
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1400 3200 3100
Transport wind..N 3 S 5 S 7 S 8
Dispersion idx..2 8 27 36
LVORI...........10 5 3 1
$$
Forecaster...Weitlich
Requested by...Jessica Vincent
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416758.1/MLB
.DELDT 06/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jessica.e.vincent@usda.gov