727
FXUS64 KMOB 201816
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
115 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM UPDATE...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 115 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

VFR conditions are generally expected to remain prevalent across
the region through 18Z Friday. The exception will be near isolated
to scattered SHRA and possibly a TSRA or two that may develop
across portions of south central/southwest AL and the western FL
panhandle this afternoon into early this evening. Easterly winds
will remain elevated between 8-13 knots with a few higher gusts
this afternoon before diminishing by early this evening. /21

&&

.NEAR TERM
Issued at 115 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

A few showers and possibly an isolated thunderstorm or two may
develop this afternoon, mainly over the southern part of forecast
area along a plume of enhanced moisture translating westward along
the southern periphery of a strong upper level ridge of high
pressure building into the Tennessee and Mid-Mississippi Valley
regions. Made some slight adjustments to POPs based on the latest
forecast trends, but generally kept them between 20-40% coverage
this afternoon along the moisture plume. High temperatures are on
track to range in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Area beaches continue to report rough surf and dangerous rip
currents today with double red flags flying (water closed to
public). The High Surf Advisory and High Rip Current Risk
continues. Plan to allow the Coastal Flood Advisory for coastal
portions of Alabama to expire on schedule at 2 PM. /21

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM CDT this afternoon for
     ALZ263>265.

     High Rip Current Risk through late Friday night for ALZ265-266.

     High Surf Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Friday night for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     High Surf Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ650-
     655-670-675.

&&

$$

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