Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
275
FNUS74 KMOB 161137
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for F-14 RX...Eglin AFB
National Weather Service Mobile AL
637 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on June 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Rain becomes likely today over the burn site with
a chance of rain following for Monday. Afternoon relative humidity
values will be well above critical levels. Transport winds will
be southeasterly to southerly today and easterly to southeasterly
on Monday. Dispersion values will be generally good today and
Monday.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
late in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms in
the late morning and afternoon. Showers likely
in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1000, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the late
morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....41 increasing to 50 late in the morning, then
decreasing to 33 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
Sky (%).........23 56 70 71 64
Weather cov..... CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10 50 60 60 70
LAL.............1 3 3 3 3
Temp............83 88 87 87 86
RH..............74 59 59 61 63
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..8 10 13 13 10
20 FT wind gust.13 16 18 18 15
Mix hgt (ft)....2900 3200 3000 2700 2400
Transp wind dir.ESE SE SSE S S
Transp wind spd.13 15 14 13 12
Dispersion idx..38 50 36 31 29
LVORI...........3 2 2 2 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms early in the
evening, then chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms early in the evening.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 2 until 2200, then 1 until
0400, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph early in the evening
becoming light, then becoming east around 5 mph
after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 10 mph shifting to the east around 7
mph overnight.
Dispersion index....29 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........63 64 66 69 55 68
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).70 30 10 10 10 20
LAL.............3 2 1 1 1 2
Temp............84 81 79 78 76 75
RH..............65 74 82 85 90 94
20 FT wind dir..S SSE SSE SE E E
20 FT wind spd..10 6 5 3 3 6
20 FT wind gust.14 10 8 7 8 10
Mix hgt (ft)....2400 400 400 400 400 400
Transp wind dir.S SSE S S E E
Transp wind spd.10 7 7 6 7 7
Dispersion idx..29 6 6 5 6 7
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 6 7
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................2 until 0700, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 12 mph shifting to the
southeast 10 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 56.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........52 53 63 69 77 74
Weather cov.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).20 50 50 50 50 50
LAL.............2 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............75 79 85 88 89 89
RH..............90 82 65 58 55 56
20 FT wind dir..E E ESE ESE ESE SE
20 FT wind spd..7 9 12 14 14 13
20 FT wind gust.13 15 17 18 20 18
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1200 3300 4100 4100 3700
Transp wind dir.E E E ESE ESE ESE
Transp wind spd.8 12 14 15 15 14
Dispersion idx..9 23 43 49 52 56
LVORI...........6 4 2 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...29
Requested by...Tom Murrie
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416221.0/MOB
.DELDT 06/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.murrie@us.af.mil