Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Versions:
1
984 FNUS73 KMPX 010930 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for White Bear WMA Rx Burn...MN DNR National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 430 AM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on June 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...For the White Bear WMA Rx Burn, expect mostly sunny skies with light westerly winds throughout the day. Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 70s by this afternoon with RH values around 35-40%. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Temperature.........65 at ignition...Max 75. RH..................63 percent at ignition...Min 38 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 7 mph at ignition...otherwise West winds 7 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair /16500 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /109400 knot-ft/ increasing to excellent (113400 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 8200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 12 to 18 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............65 67 70 72 73 74 75 75 75 74 72 68 RH..............63 59 51 46 44 41 40 38 40 43 48 54 20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W SW 20 FT wind spd..7 8 9 10 9 9 10 9 8 6 6 5 20 FT wind gust.10 13 14 15 15 14 14 14 13 10 8 8 Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 3.3 4.6 5.5 6.5 7.3 8.2 7.6 5.5 3.1 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W Transp wind spd.12 13 14 14 17 17 18 17 14 10 8 6 Haines index....4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Temperature.........Min 56. RH..................Max 83 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to 7 mph late in the evening. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (65800 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (2000 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 6 to 14 mph shifting to the south around 6 mph late in the evening, then shifting to the southeast 6 to 9 mph late in the evening shifting to the south around 10 mph early in the morning. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the morning. Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms early in the afternoon, then rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 77. RH..................Min 56 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 17 mph shifting to the south 18 to 21 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (83300 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (97100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 10 to 18 mph increasing to 31 to 32 mph. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Dye Requested by...Jason Strege Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2415412.0/MPX .DELDT 06/01/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Jason.Strege@state.mn.us