Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT
873 FNUS75 KMSO 171305 FWSMSO Spot Forecast for Elkhorn Ridge Fire National Weather Service Missoula MT 705 AM MDT Tue Sep 17 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on September 17. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Widespread showers and occasional thunderstorms are expected into tonight with the best chances this afternoon/evening. Wetting rain chances are high. In fact, there is an 80% probability of at least 0.25" of rainfall, 50% probability of at least 0.50" of rain. Locally heavy rain rates will create the potential for debris flows. Humidity will be fairly high, winds fairly light. Rain chances will gradually decrease on Wednesday. .REST OF TODAY... * Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...90 percent. * Chance Lightning....40 percent. * LAL.................3. * Max Temperature.....62-67. * Min Humidity........52-57 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-4 mph becoming north 5-7 mph in the afternoon. * Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl increasing to 5000 ft agl late in the afternoon. * Mixing Winds........North 5 mph. * Haines Index........2 very low. * Precip Amount.......0.10-0.35 inches. .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms overnight. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...60 percent. * Chance Lightning....40 percent. * LAL.................3. * Min Temperature.....45-50. * Max Humidity........75-80 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 5-8 mph. * Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl. * Mixing Winds........Northwest 10 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.05-0.20 inches. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...20 percent. * Chance Lightning....0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Max Temperature.....58-63. * Min Humidity........47-52 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........West 5-7 mph. * Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. * Mixing Winds........Northwest 10 mph. * Haines Index........2 very low. * Precip Amount.......0.00-0.10 inches. $$ Forecaster...Booth Requested by...David Fox Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2420244.10/MSO .DELDT 09/17/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL david.fox@usda.gov