Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
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769 FXUS63 KPAH 161129 AFDPAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 629 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Triple digit or close to it heat index today through Monday, and again heading into next weekend. - Daily storm chances Monday thru Wednesday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 305 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024 Upper level ridge of high pressure is anchored across the southeast this morning with upstream troughing across the northern plains. A surface high across New England will move southeast into the Atlantic waters today allowing sfc winds to continue to veer toward the south. Similar to yesterday, temperatures will be warm, if not a degree or two warmer. Highs in the low to mid 90`s will be found area wide today. Increasing southerly flow will advect higher dewpoints into the region, with localized pooling possible as well. This will send heat indices to 100 or just shy of 105 degrees by the afternoon. An afternoon shower or storm is possible across portions of western Kentucky but most areas should remain dry. Warm temperatures will continue through this week. The upper ridge will remain parked across the mid Atlantic through the first half of the week before becoming elongated and spreading westward by mid to late week. A couple afternoon showers and storms remain a possibility Mon-Wed. The best chances for rain/storms will be west of the Mississippi River. The increased cloud cover and rain/storms will keep temperatures just a bit cooler (upper 80`s to lower 90`s Mon-Tue) before increasing heights drive temperatures back up into the mid 90`s Wed through Sun. The upper level high is expected to break down this coming weekend providing additional chances of rain. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/... Issued at 623 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024 Ridge of high pressure will continue to provide VFR conditions for area TAF sites through Monday morning. Expect SCT-BKN 5kft CU development this afternoon. An isolated shower or storm is still possible this afternoon but coverage remains too low to include a mention in the TAFs. SE winds below 5 knots this morning will increase to 5-10 knots this afternoon from the SW. Winds relax tonight under a few passing cirrus clouds. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...Air Quality Alert until midnight CDT /1 AM EDT/ tonight for INZ081-082-085>088. KY...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AD AVIATION...AD