Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
374 FNUS55 KPSR 231938 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1238 PM MST Sun Jun 23 2024 .DISCUSSION... Monsoonal moisture will continue to result in daily chances for shower and thunderstorm activity, with the best chances for activity across the higher terrain areas. With the elevated moisture in place, MinRH values through early this week will range between 35-45% across the far eastern districts to between 15-25% across the western districts before slowly drying into the middle to latter half of next week. Winds will follow their typical daily tendencies, with gusty outflows from any thunderstorm activity anticipated over the next several days. Temperatures this afternoon will average near to slightly above normal before increasing some heading into the early to middle portion of the week. Chances for wetting rains will generally remain around 15-25% for the higher terrain areas and 5-10% for the lower deserts of south-central Arizona through the next couple of days. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-240745- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1238 PM MST Sun Jun 23 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................100-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................24-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 4 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................81-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................44-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................103-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................21-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 8 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 82-92. Highs 104-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-91. Highs 104-110. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 103-109. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 77-87. Highs 102-108. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 77-87. Highs 104-109. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-240745- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1238 PM MST Sun Jun 23 2024 /1238 PM PDT Sun Jun 23 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................24-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................82-87. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................47-62 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the evening becoming 20 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the evening becoming 2 after midnight. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................106-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................21-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 84-89. Highs 107-112. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-89. Highs 107-112. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 80-87. Highs 107-112. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 77-84. Highs 106-111. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 77-83. Highs 107-112. $$ AZZ133-240745- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1238 PM MST Sun Jun 23 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms . * Max Temperature.................88-101. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................26-37 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................3. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................67-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................54-70 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the evening becoming 10 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................90-104. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................24-33 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-85. Highs 91-105. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-85. Highs 92-106. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-84. Highs 90-104. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-82. Highs 89-103. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-83. Highs 92-106. $$ CAZ232-240745- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1238 PM PDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................101-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................19-28 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................82-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................35-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-90. Highs 103-113. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-90. Highs 104-114. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 77-88. Highs 104-114. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 75-84. Highs 102-112. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 75-85. Highs 102-112. $$ CAZ230-240745- Joshua Tree National Park- 1238 PM PDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................92-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................20-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................72-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-43 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming east 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................92-107. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................19-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-86. Highs 92-107. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70-86. Highs 94-108. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 66-84. Highs 92-107. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 65-80. Highs 91-106. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 65-80. Highs 91-106. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Sunday June 30th through Tuesday July 2nd: Above normal temperatures and precipitation.