Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
650 FNUS55 KPSR 211950 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1250 PM MST Fri Jun 21 2024 .DISCUSSION... Moisture will continue to increase across the region into the upcoming weekend bringing daily chances for afternoon thunderstorms, with the best chances expected across the higher terrain areas of south-central AZ. MinRH values this afternoon will range between 30-40% across the far eastern districts to between 10-15% across the western districts. MinRH values will then increase for Saturday, ranging from 40% across the eastern districts to 20-25% across the western districts, with similar levels through Sunday as well. Winds will follow their typical daily tendencies, with gusty outflows from any thunderstorm activity anticipated over the next several days. High pressure is expected to strengthen over the region by early to mid next week leading to even hotter temperatures along with slightly drier conditions. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-220800- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1250 PM MST Fri Jun 21 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................80-90. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................28-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................103-109. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................19-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 6 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms . * Min Temperature.................81-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................42-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...10 percent east portion. * LAL.............................2. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................101-107. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................22-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southeast 6 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 81-91. Highs 104-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-92. Highs 105-110. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 105-111. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 104-110. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 104-109. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-220800- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1250 PM MST Fri Jun 21 2024 /1250 PM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................78-83. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................27-39 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................19-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 13 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................82-87. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................44-61 pct. * 24 hr trend..................18 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the evening becoming 20 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the evening becoming 2 after midnight. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers . * Max Temperature.................105-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................21-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 107-112. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 108-113. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 107-112. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-87. Highs 108-113. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 107-112. $$ AZZ133-220800- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1250 PM MST Fri Jun 21 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................68-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................54-72 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming east 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming light and variable after midnight. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * LAL.............................2. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning. chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................87-103. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................25-37 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening becoming slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................68-83. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................51-69 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming southeast after midnight. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * LAL.............................3 in the evening becoming 2 after midnight. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning becoming showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................87-102. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................25-36 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-83. Highs 90-105. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-84. Highs 92-106. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 70-84. Highs 92-106. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-83. Highs 90-104. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-83. Highs 90-105. $$ CAZ232-220800- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1250 PM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................77-83. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................21-45 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming southeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................15-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................83-88. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................32-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 10 to 20 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................102-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-90. Highs 104-113. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-90. Highs 104-114. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-90. Highs 104-114. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 104-114. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 77-86. Highs 103-113. $$ CAZ230-220800- Joshua Tree National Park- 1250 PM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................69-80. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................21-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming south 15 to 25 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................92-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-19 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................72-83. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................30-38 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................92-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-85. Highs 93-108. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-86. Highs 94-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-86. Highs 94-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-85. Highs 94-109. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 67-82. Highs 93-108. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Saturday June 29th through Monday July 1st: Above normal temperatures and precipitation.