Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
896 FNUS55 KPSR 161041 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 341 AM MST Sun Jun 16 2024 .DISCUSSION... Hot, dry, and breezy/locally windy conditions will lead to elevated to near critical fire weather today and tomorrow, particularly across southcentral AZ tomorrow. Wind speeds will increase across the region with afternoon gusts reaching 20-30 mph both days. The higher terrain areas northeast of Phoenix are likely to see the strongest winds tomorrow, with gusts as highs as 30-35 mph possible, leading to locally critical fire weather. Afternoon humidity levels will continue to fall to 10% or less and poor overnight recovery of only 15-30% is expected over the next few nights. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-162245- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 341 AM MST Sun Jun 16 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-109. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................7-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......12100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 17 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................69-79. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................26-42 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................99-105. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................9-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 20 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 68-78. Highs 96-103. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 69-79. Highs 98-105. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 70-83. Highs 104-111. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 74-85. Highs 107-113. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 106-111. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-162245- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 341 AM MST Sun Jun 16 2024 /341 AM PDT Sun Jun 16 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-110. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................7-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 15 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................70-75. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................27-41 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................101-106. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 13 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 69-74. Highs 99-104. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 69-75. Highs 101-106. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 71-78. Highs 105-110. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 74-83. Highs 109-114. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 78-84. Highs 108-113. $$ AZZ133-162245- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 341 AM MST Sun Jun 16 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................91-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................7-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................60-72. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................27-37 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming south 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................89-103. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-71. Highs 86-100. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 60-75. Highs 89-102. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63-81. Highs 92-108. Southeast winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-81. Highs 91-107. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-81. Highs 92-107. $$ CAZ232-162245- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 341 AM PDT Sun Jun 16 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................99-109. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................6-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................71-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................22-38 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................96-106. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 70-77. Highs 94-103. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 70-77. Highs 96-105. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 71-81. Highs 99-109. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 74-83. Highs 104-114. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 77-86. Highs 104-113. $$ CAZ230-162245- Joshua Tree National Park- 341 AM PDT Sun Jun 16 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................88-103. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................7-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................61-73. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................23-31 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................84-100. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................9-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 60-74. Highs 84-97. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 61-73. Highs 84-100. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 62-77. Highs 88-103. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 66-80. Highs 92-107. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 69-82. Highs 93-108. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Sunday June 23nd through Tuesday June 25th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.