Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
902 FNUS55 KPSR 192129 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 229 PM MST Wed Jun 19 2024 .DISCUSSION... A large change in weather over the eastern districts will occur Thursday morning with unusually strong southeast winds pulling higher moisture levels into Arizona. Southeast winds of 20 to 30 mph and gusts upwards of 40 to 50 mph will be possible with this moisture surge through mid afternoon and then again Thursday night. While western districts will remain dry with afternoon humidity levels in a 10-15% range following poor to fair overnight recovery of 20-40%, eastern districts will improve such that afternoon values do not fall below 25% with good overnight recovery. For Thursday afternoon and evening, scattered storms are likely over mountain areas with isolated storms and gusty erratic winds into the south-central AZ lower deserts. Thunderstorm chances continue for Friday afternoon and evening, still favoring high terrain locations, but with slightly higher chances over the lower desert (20-40%) as moisture continues to spread over the region. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-200930- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 229 PM MST Wed Jun 19 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................71-81. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................23-35 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-112. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................7-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......12400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................77-87. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................24-46 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny in the morning becoming partly sunny in the afternoon. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................106-113. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......12700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-91. Highs 101-106. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-91. Highs 101-107. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 105-110. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-92. Highs 107-112. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 107-112. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-200930- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 229 PM MST Wed Jun 19 2024 /229 PM PDT Wed Jun 19 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................70-75. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................29-40 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-110. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 5 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................74-79. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................24-35 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming northwest after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................110-115. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-86. Highs 104-109. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 82-87. Highs 104-109. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 108-113. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 110-115. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 80-87. Highs 109-114. $$ AZZ133-200930- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 229 PM MST Wed Jun 19 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................64-76. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................35-55 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny in the morning becoming partly sunny in the afternoon. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................91-108. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................16-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 15 to 25 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 30 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................68-82. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................50-68 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................3 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................87-105. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................23-36 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 15 to 25 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 30 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-82. Highs 87-102. East winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-82. Highs 89-103. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-83. Highs 91-105. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-84. Highs 94-108. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70-84. Highs 94-108. $$ CAZ232-200930- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 229 PM PDT Wed Jun 19 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................72-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................22-42 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................99-109. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................75-81. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................20-38 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................104-113. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 101-110. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 82-89. Highs 102-111. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-90. Highs 104-114. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 82-90. Highs 105-115. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 80-89. Highs 106-116. $$ CAZ230-200930- Joshua Tree National Park- 229 PM PDT Wed Jun 19 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................62-74. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................23-30 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming south 10 to 20 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................88-102. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................9-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................66-76. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................22-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................92-107. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................8-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-85. Highs 90-104. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 72-85. Highs 91-105. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-85. Highs 93-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 71-85. Highs 94-110. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 70-85. Highs 95-110. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Thursday June 27th through Saturday June 29th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.