186
FXUS64 KSHV 211958
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
258 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

The heat is on through the beginning of the weekend with a
warming trend developing across the Four State Region. Surface
ridging currently over the Mid-South will continue to gradually
shift eastward across the Mississippi River into the Southern
Great Plains by tomorrow afternoon, boosting temperature
maximums/minimums into the upper 90s/mid-to-upper 70s. Dew points
in the upper 60s/lower 70s will maintain outdoor conditions. /16/


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

The hottest temperatures of the year are on the way to the Four
State Region through early next week. This is due to surface
ridging that will continue to slowly settle across the Southern
Great Plains, maintaining southerly flow through the middle of the
week. Medium-range guidance is trending toward slightly more
widespread chances of triple-digit temperatures on Sunday and
Monday with probabilities above 20 percent (statistically
significant, some areas higher than 30 percent). Heat hazards are
likely to be issued as a result.

After the middle of next week, this ridge axis will break down
further, opening the door for more diurnal convection that`s
typical for this time of the year. While remaining well above
average, temperature maximums will also retreat from triple-digit
territory, but not by much. Minimums in the mid-to-upper 70s will
not provide much in the way of heat relief overnight.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the TAF period ending
22/18Z. Currently at all terminals, few to scattered clouds are
present around 3-4kft but will improve around 22/00Z. Overnight,
winds will be light and variable. Across TYR/LFK/GGG, southwest
winds to increase to around 6 knots after 22/14Z. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  78  96  78  99 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  73  96  75  98 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  70  93  72  96 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  74  97  76 100 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  72  94  74  98 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  74  94  76  97 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  74  94  75  96 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  74  95  72  97 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...05