Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
486 FXUS64 KSHV 221628 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1128 AM CDT Sun Sep 22 2024 ...New SHORT TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 1116 AM CDT Sun Sep 22 2024 Welcome to the Fall season, and since 7:44 am with the equinox, but we are still on a summer diurnal course with top of the hour readings in the mid to upper 80s. Our winds are stirring S/SW and will likely back again in the mid afternoon to more S/SE. Just another partly cloudy sky of fair weather cumulus. No changes needed to highs with a range of low to mid 90s on course as winds stir better over the next few hours. Speaking of stirring winds, we have been tasked (with many other offices) to transition to 4 upper air flights starting at midnight tomorrow night in prep for a challenging tropic scenario. Many sites in our region will be adding these extra flight times 06/18Z through Thursday afternoon. NHC disturbance #2 in the NW Caribbean Sea has only a 10% chance over the next 48hrs. /24/ && .LONG TERM... (Monday Night through Sunday) Issued at 107 AM CDT Sun Sep 22 2024 By Tuesday night, a much deeper trough and cold front will begin moving through the Plains, working into the region by Wednesday morning. Here, the low looks to become cut off and stall somewhere overhead. This will do two things: keep cooler air filtering into the region, and allow for narrower bands of heavier precipitation to form along deeper moisture flow from the Gulf. In turn, below average temperatures are possible into the weekend, aided by the increased cloud cover and rain. Additionally, a few locations could see localized 1-2 inches of rainfall with these heavier bands. Unfortunately, these amounts will be isolated, and many locations won`t see much QPF over the next seven days. /44/ && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 618 AM CDT Sun Sep 22 2024 For the 22/12z TAF update...Surface observations are showing a bit more locations reporting lower visibility than originally anticipated. Have added some BR and lower visibility for KMLU through 22/13z this morning. KLFK has been the other location with visibility below 6sm this morning, however, multiple non airport sites are also reporting some lower visibility and BR. Once this burns off later this morning, VFR conditions should prevail for the rest of the day. We will see an increase of cloud cover, something we are already seeing on satellite imagery, from the northwest through the day and into the overnight hours. /33/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 94 74 92 72 / 0 0 10 10 MLU 94 71 93 72 / 0 0 0 10 DEQ 92 70 85 62 / 0 20 60 10 TXK 94 73 89 68 / 0 0 30 20 ELD 94 70 91 69 / 0 0 10 20 TYR 94 74 89 69 / 0 10 30 10 GGG 93 72 90 69 / 0 0 20 10 LFK 92 71 91 71 / 0 0 10 10 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....44 AVIATION...33