Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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936 FXUS64 KSHV 191908 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 208 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday Night) Issued at 207 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Tropically-influenced weather conditions will continue through the rest of the day across the Four State Region, gradually tapering off to the beginning of a warming trend. Until then, southeasterly flow associated with newly-formed Tropical Storm Alberto in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico will instigate precipitation chances mostly south of the I-20 corridor through this evening. Cloud cover will break down by tomorrow with temperature maximums/minimums continuing further above normal in the mid-90s/mid-70s. /16/ && .LONG TERM... (Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 207 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 As Tropical Storm Alberto drifts further into Mexico and away from the Four State Region, the hottest temperatures of the year will arrive through the weekend into next week. This is due to broad ridging across the Eastern U.S. that will intensify and expand westward into the Southern Great Plains into Saturday, boosting light easterly surface flow that becomes southerly flow by Sunday. Long-range guidance still indicates higher chances of triple-digit temperatures on Sunday and Monday with probabilities above 15 percent (statistically significant, some areas higher than 30 percent), especially along and north of the I-20 corridor. By the middle of next week, this ridge axis will break down further, opening the door for more diurnal convection that`s typical for this time of the year. Heat hazard products continue to become more likely later this weekend into early next week. Adequate precautions and awareness are encouraged ahead of time against the elevated potential for heat illnesses. Starting this weekend, this includes (and is not limited to) altering outdoor plans, taking frequent breaks if you must be outside, checking the backseat of your vehicle, and knowing the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke. /16/ && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1225 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Mostly VFR conditions will prevail throughout the TAF period ending at 21/18Z. However, TYR/LFK/GGG terminals could see some MVFR cloud decks around 12Z until 16Z on Thursday. Winds will be out of the east and no higher than 10 knots this afternoon and on Thursday afternoons, with winds around 5 knots overnight. /05/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 77 95 75 95 / 10 0 0 0 MLU 73 93 70 94 / 10 0 0 0 DEQ 72 92 69 93 / 10 0 0 0 TXK 74 95 71 95 / 10 0 0 0 ELD 71 93 69 94 / 10 0 0 0 TYR 75 94 74 94 / 10 0 0 0 GGG 75 93 72 94 / 10 0 0 0 LFK 74 93 72 93 / 10 10 0 10 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...16 LONG TERM....16 AVIATION...05