809
FXUS64 KSHV 241809 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
109 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1054 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

The only noteworthy modification necessary at this time was
expanding the slight chance PoPs across east Texas further north
towards the I-20 corridor through the 18Z hour. Otherwise, the
overnight forecast package appears on track.

/26/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 109 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Mostly VFR conditions will continue through the 24/18Z TAF period.
Cu cigs have developed early this afternoon along and S of a weak
sfc front that extends just S of the I-20 corridor of E TX into NW
LA, with AC and cirrus cigs also streaming ENE atop the front.
Isolated to widely scattered convection is expected to develop by
mid-afternoon ahead of the front over portions of Deep E TX into
NCntrl LA, and VCTS was maintained at LFK to account for this
potential through mid-evening before ending. While low AC and
cirrus cigs may linger over these areas overnight, additional
mainly elevated cigs will quickly spread SSE into the region from
the NW after 06Z Wednesday, as scattered mainly elevated
convection develops along a stronger cold front that will slide
SSE through the region. Have added VCSH to the area terminals
after 09Z, and carried them through the remainder of the 18Z TAF
period, although the elevated convection should diminish from N to
S by mid to late morning. Some patchy MVFR cigs may also develop
by/after daybreak Wednesday especially over portions of E TX/Wrn
LA, with any cigs returning to VFR by the afternoon. WNW winds
around 5kts this afternoon will become Lt/Vrb after 00Z. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  90  67  82  64 /  10  20  20  10
MLU  91  66  82  62 /  20  20  30  10
DEQ  87  60  83  57 /   0  60  10   0
TXK  88  64  82  60 /   0  40  20   0
ELD  88  63  80  58 /  10  20  30  10
TYR  89  66  82  61 /  20  30  20   0
GGG  89  65  81  60 /  20  30  20   0
LFK  90  68  83  63 /  40  30  30  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...26
AVIATION...15