737
FXUS64 KSHV 152003 CCA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
303 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday Night)
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2024

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms resulting from a
weak longitudinally oriented surface boundary across Mississippi
and an upper-low lingering from Francine to persist through this
evening with conditions improving after midnight. Partly to
mostly cloudy skies to prevail across the ArkLaTex with the
highest coverage across south Arkansas and northeast Louisiana.
Overnight low temperatures are forecast to average in the upper
60s to lower 70s.

Widely scattered daytime convection expected across northeast
Louisiana and south Arkansas on Monday as a southward moving
upper-trough forces the remnants of Francine across the northern
gulf coast. A westward retrograding upper-low across the
Appalachians will fully absorb whats left of Francine on Monday
night with conditions improving areawide thereafter. High
temperatures on Monday are forecast average to average in the low
to mid 80s with overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s. /05/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2024

An upper-level ridge to build east across the region on Tuesday
allowing for dry conditions to prevail areawide through at least
Friday. Subsidence associated with the ridge will allow for
high temperatures to climb into the lower to middle 90s with
warm overnight lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Late in the workweek, the upper-ridge to become pinched between an
approaching trough across the Southern Plains and an upper-low
that will deepen across the northeast Gulf of Mexico. Could see
gradually increasing rain chances from Saturday onward across
mainly the I-30 corridor. Temperatures during the weekend to
range from highs in the upper 80s to lows in the upper 60s. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2024

For the 15/18Z TAF update, the remnant circulation of Francine,
in combination with light winds, will create favorable conditions
for airspace-wide IFR/LIFR vis/cigs after 16/09Z. Some patchy FG
remains possible by 16/12Z before slight MVFR improvements by the
end of the period. /16/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  71  83  71  87 /   0  20   0   0
MLU  70  82  68  85 /  20  50  10   0
DEQ  67  84  65  87 /   0  20   0   0
TXK  69  84  68  88 /   0  20   0   0
ELD  67  80  65  86 /  10  50   0   0
TYR  69  88  70  89 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  68  85  68  87 /   0  10   0   0
LFK  70  88  69  89 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...16