Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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592 FXUS64 KSJT 170523 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1223 AM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Tuesday) Issued at 211 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024 No significant changes from the previous forecast. The upper level ridge will generally remain over the area through Tuesday, keeping temperatures warmer than normal, and rain chances low. The HRRR and NAMNest do show an isolated shower or two this evening and tomorrow afternoon, but will keep the forecast dry as the coverage is expected to be so sparse that it doesn`t need mentioning. Otherwise, look for lows tonight in the upper 60s to lower 70s, and highs on Tuesday generally in the mid 90s. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through next Monday) Issued at 212 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024 The large scale pattern over the CONUS through the next several days will be characterized by a broad upper level trough over the western U.S. and an upper level low over the eastern U.S. Upper level ridging will be in place over the southern Plains keeping our area generally dry with warmer than normal temperatures through the remainder of the work week. A weak shortwave will pass overhead on Wednesday, but it appears showers and thunderstorms will remain north of our area. Otherwise, highs will be in the mid 90s with some upper 90s likely on Thursday and Friday. Going into the weekend, the western U.S. upper low will begin to eject eastward across the Rockies. A shortwave trough rounding the base of the low will translate eastward into the Plains on Saturday and Sunday. The exact evolution of this feature will determine rain chances as well as a possible cold front working its way into the region. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty this far out, but will show cooler temperatures by Sunday and Monday along with a slight chance of PoPs. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1220 AM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024 In general, VFR conditions with light southeast winds will prevail across West Central Texas terminals through Wednesday morning. There may be a brief window of some MVFR cigs around KSOA as some low cloudiness across the Rio Grande Valley works its way northward towards the area. Even if it does make it to the terminal location, should only last a few hours at worst. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 72 96 73 96 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 72 96 73 97 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 70 94 72 94 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 70 96 72 96 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 73 95 74 96 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 71 92 73 93 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 70 94 71 94 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...20 LONG TERM....42 AVIATION...07