378
FXUS64 KSJT 182301
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
601 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

Little change to the forecast the next 24 hours. Short wave ridging
will prevail across the southern Plains, with dry and unseasonably
warm temperatures continuing. Skies will be mostly clear tonight,
with overnight lows in the low to mid 70s. Temperatures tomorrow
will be very near or perhaps a degree or two warmer than today,
with afternoon highs topping out in the mid and upper 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 152 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

Above-normal and dry conditions are expected to continue on Friday
as the ridge persists. Things start to get a little more interesting
as a shortwave trough approaches this weekend from the west. Models
are still going back and forth on exactly how much of an impact this
system will have on our weather here in West Central Texas, so
there`s still quite a bit of uncertainty in our forecast starting
late Saturday and continuing into early next week. Right now, it
looks like the majority of rainfall with this system should remain
to our north. However, the GFS is showing the potential for some
rain this weekend through Monday along a frontal boundary associated
with this upper low. It looks like we could see breezy conditions
this weekend, with winds around 10 to 20 mph, with gusts approaching
30 mph at times. Additional rain chances will be possible along the
frontal boundary as its pushed south through our area Tuesday into
Wednesday. Cooler temperatures will accompany this system, likely
dropping highs back near-normal in the mid to upper 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 527 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

Gusty south to southeast winds will decrease to 10 knots or less
this evening. Stratus will result in MVFR ceilings at KSOA after
12Z with VFR conditions returning by mid to late morning. KSJT and
KJCT will be on the edge of the stratus, so for now have continued
VFR conditions. Expect south winds to increase to 8 to 12 knots,
with some higher gusts, by late morning Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     74  96  73  96 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  73  96  72  96 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    72  95  70  95 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   72  96  71  96 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  74  96  73  96 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       73  93  71  93 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       71  94  71  94 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...Daniels