Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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408 FXUS64 KSJT 190516 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1216 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday) Issued at 236 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 Little change to the forecast the next 24 hours. Short wave ridging will prevail across the southern Plains, with dry and unseasonably warm temperatures continuing. Skies will be mostly clear tonight, with overnight lows in the low to mid 70s. Temperatures tomorrow will be very near or perhaps a degree or two warmer than today, with afternoon highs topping out in the mid and upper 90s. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 152 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 Above-normal and dry conditions are expected to continue on Friday as the ridge persists. Things start to get a little more interesting as a shortwave trough approaches this weekend from the west. Models are still going back and forth on exactly how much of an impact this system will have on our weather here in West Central Texas, so there`s still quite a bit of uncertainty in our forecast starting late Saturday and continuing into early next week. Right now, it looks like the majority of rainfall with this system should remain to our north. However, the GFS is showing the potential for some rain this weekend through Monday along a frontal boundary associated with this upper low. It looks like we could see breezy conditions this weekend, with winds around 10 to 20 mph, with gusts approaching 30 mph at times. Additional rain chances will be possible along the frontal boundary as its pushed south through our area Tuesday into Wednesday. Cooler temperatures will accompany this system, likely dropping highs back near-normal in the mid to upper 80s. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1213 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 A similar pattern to what we saw early Wednesday morning, with low clouds and MVFR cigs expected to develop and push north into the Edwards PLateau and perhaps Concho Valley just after sunrise Thursday morning. Should again be short lived with low clouds dissipating by mid to late morning with VFR skies then prevailing. South to southeast winds will also continue and will also continue to be gusty at times during daylight hours. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 73 97 72 95 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 72 97 72 95 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 70 95 69 93 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 71 96 70 94 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 73 96 73 94 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 71 93 72 91 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 71 95 69 93 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....AP AVIATION...07