654
FXUS62 KTBW 200551
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
151 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 151 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

The primary aviation hazard today will again be mainly afternoon
showers and isolated thunderstorms as a breezy easterly flow
continues. However, the likelihood and confidence in any significant
impacts across West Central FL terminals has declined such that
mention has been removed from TAFs. Should storms develop, the most
likely time-frame for impacts looks to be from around 19 to 21Z. The
story is different for SWFL, where conditions do look more
favorable. However, the probability for TSRA is low. Thunderstorms
will continue to be the main concern for the days to come, with
varying degrees of impacts each day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  93  76  94  79 /  20  20  60  40
FMY  93  75  93  77 /  40  20  60  40
GIF  90  74  95  76 /  30  20  60  20
SRQ  94  75  94  78 /  20  30  60  40
BKV  93  72  96  74 /  20  20  60  30
SPG  94  79  94  82 /  20  30  60  40

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 3
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 1

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT today for Coastal waters
     from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal
     waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-
     Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-
     Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-
     Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to
     60 NM.


&&

$$

Flannery