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Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
386 FXXX10 KWNP 220031 DAYTDF :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2024 Jun 22 0030 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # 3-Day Forecast # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 22-Jun 24 2024 is 4.00 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 22-Jun 24 2024 Jun 22 Jun 23 Jun 24 00-03UT 4.00 2.67 1.67 03-06UT 3.33 2.00 2.00 06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.67 09-12UT 2.33 2.67 1.33 12-15UT 2.00 2.33 0.67 15-18UT 2.00 2.33 1.33 18-21UT 2.33 2.33 1.33 21-00UT 2.67 2.33 1.67 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 22-Jun 24 2024 Jun 22 Jun 23 Jun 24 S1 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms over the next three days. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 22-Jun 24 2024 Jun 22 Jun 23 Jun 24 R1-R2 60% 60% 60% R3 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate), with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), radio blackouts are likely over the next three days.