649
FXUS64 KTSA 211818
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
118 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Thru Tonight)
Issued at 117 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

A quiet afternoon and night is in store with ridging aloft in
control. Lows should be a touch cooler with less cloud cover
around overnight.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Friday)
Issued at 117 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

South to southwest winds will pick up ahead of a weak boundary on
Saturday. The strongest gusts will be in the morning to midday
hours, backing off slightly in the afternoon. A low level thermal
ridge over the central High Plains will expand east ahead of the
boundary, allowing afternoon highs to climb into the low to mid
90s. The weak boundary may set off an isolated shower or storm
near the KS border Saturday evening and maybe over NW AR on Sunday,
but I wouldn`t count on any rain with mid-level ridging in control.
The warming trend will continue into Sunday and Monday, and likely
persisting into Tuesday, with heat headlines coming. The ridge
shifts west by the middle of next week, with stronger N to NWrly
flow developing aloft. A disturbance could bring storm chances as
early at Tuesday, but the better chances look to be with a front
Tuesday night into Wednesday, possibly bringing some brief relief
from the heat for Thursday.

Lacy

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the period with scattered
cumulus around this afternoon and mostly clear skies expected
through tonight into tomorrow. Gusty south-southwesterly winds
around 15kts across northeast Oklahoma sites this afternoon will
lessen this evening. Winds will come around more southwesterly for
all sites tomorrow morning as a boundary approaches the area from
the northwest.

Bowlan

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   75  96  78  99 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   72  96  77  98 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   71  94  76  96 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   72  96  75  97 /   0   0  10   0
FYV   67  93  73  95 /   0   0   0  10
BYV   69  93  75  93 /   0   0   0  10
MKO   71  93  76  96 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   72  93  76  93 /  10  10  10  10
F10   70  93  76  96 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   70  93  73  96 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...04