Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
700
FNUS55 KTWC 112048
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
148 PM MST Tue Jun 11 2024
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING FOR STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS, LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND A VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 152...
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Hot temperatures this week, with high temperatures
7-10 degrees above normal through Thursday and then 3-6 degrees
above normal Friday through the weekend. Limited mid-level
moisture will result in a slight chance of mainly dry
thunderstorms in the higher terrain northeast of Tucson late
Thursday and Friday. These storms may produce gusty and erratic
winds, along with occasional lightning. Expect min RH values of
3-9 percent in the lower elevations and 7-15 percent in the
mountains through this weekend, along with poor overnight
recoveries between 20-35 percent in most locations. Outside of any
thunderstorm outflows, 20-foot winds will follow typical diurnal
patterns, with afternoon/early evening gustiness due to strong
surface heating. Sustained 20-foot wind speeds will generally be
15 mph or less through Wednesday, with elevated winds at 15-22
mph and gusts to around 35-40 mph along the Arizona/New Mexico
border Friday. This will result in critical fire weather
conditions. Therefore, A Fire Weather Watch is in effect Friday for
Fire Weather Zone 152 (including Cochsie, Graham and Greenlee
counties).
AZZ150-121600-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
148 PM MST Tue Jun 11 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............14 to 24 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........103 to 113 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 9 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............12683 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 6 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (164879 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............14 to 24 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........103 to 113 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............14424 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 8 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (187512 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 98 to 108. Southwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 4 to 9 pct.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 102 to 112. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 4 to 9 pct.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 101 to 111. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 15 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 97 to 107.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-121600-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
148 PM MST Tue Jun 11 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 11 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............13671 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 8 knots shifting to the southwest
14 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (191394 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 11 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15066 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 9 knots shifting to the west
13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (195858 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 94 to 104. Southwest
wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 96 to 106. West wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 96 to 106. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 93 to 103.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-121600-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
148 PM MST Tue Jun 11 2024
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............17 to 27 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15427 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 8 knots shifting to the west
12 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (185124 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 11 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............16794 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 9 knots shifting to the
southwest 13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (218322 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. West wind
around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 10 pct.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 95 to 105. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 4 to 10 pct.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 96 to 106. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 94 to 104.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-121600-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
148 PM MST Tue Jun 11 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming clear.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny then becoming partly cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14620 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 9 knots shifting to the west 13
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (190060 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming clear.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 11 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15637 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 10 knots shifting to the south
13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (203281 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 62 to 72.
Highs 84 to 94. Northwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity
7 to 12 pct.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 86 to 96. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 86 to 96. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 83 to 93.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-121600-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
148 PM MST Tue Jun 11 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............15 to 23 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 5 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny then becoming partly cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............16749 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 9 knots shifting to the southwest
13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (217737 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............14 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 14 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............17586 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 11 knots shifting to the
southwest 13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (228618 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. West wind
around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 85 to 95. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 12 pct.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 86 to 96. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 83 to 93.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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