Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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043
FNAK52 PAFC 191546 AAA
FWFALU

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
746 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.DISCUSSION...A series of weak upper level disturbances will cross
Southwest Alaska today. Cooler and more stable air from Bristol
Bay to the Kuskokwim Delta will lead to areas of light rain.
Further inland, marginally more unstable conditions and some
sunshine this morning will lead to isolated to scattered
convection this afternoon and evening from the Western Alaska
Range into the Kuskokwim Valley.

The thermal trough will strengthen across the Kuskokwim Valley
Thursday ahead of a more significant upper level disturbance
rotating from the Gulf of Alaska toward southern Alaska. This
will lead to an uptick in convection inland and marginally
warmer/drier conditions across all of Southwest Alaska.


AKZ153-200230-
MIDDLE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
INCLUDING...ANIAK...SLEETMUTE
746 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           30           70
TEMP (24H TREND)   49-61 (-2)   45 (0)       53-64
RH % (24H TREND)   47-75 (+15)  78-87 (+1)   52-69
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 7-15      SE 6-13      NE 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5931                      6123
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 14                     E  9
CWR                20           20           40
LAL                2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  59209                     67353

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           30           70
TEMP (24H TREND)   58-66 (-2)   48 (-1)      63-71
RH % (24H TREND)   42-54 (+6)   77-84 (+3)   44-54
20FTWND(MPH)       S 5-12       S 4-10       LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6117                      6529
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 13                      NE  8
CWR                20           30           40
LAL                2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  65841                     63730

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ155-200230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA-
INCLUDING...BETHEL...NUNIVAK ISLAND
746 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         RAIN         SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           30           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   61 (-1)      47 (-2)      66
RH % (24H TREND)   55-65 (+3)   84-94 (+2)   48-56
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 7-12      S 5-11       LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4436                      5951
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 14                     E  8
CWR                0            0            10
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  69291                     53298

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         RAIN         SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   53 (-8)      45 (-1)      57
RH % (24H TREND)   76-84 (+26)  95 (+3)      67-77
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 11-15     SE 9-16      SE 1-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2197                      3324
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 17                     NE  7
CWR                40           0            0
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  34497                     21427

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

AKZ162-200230-
GREATER BRISTOL BAY-
INCLUDING...KING SALMON...DILLINGHAM...NAKNEK...PILOT POINT
746 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   51-59 (0)    46 (0)       54-61
RH % (24H TREND)   56-73 (+10)  81-89 (0)    52-65
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 5-14      SE 2-15      E 2-12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4320                      6147
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 13                     E 13
CWR                30           10           0
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  58021                     101184

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         RAIN         SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   52-58 (+1)   45 (0)       55-61
RH % (24H TREND)   58-78 (+3)   94 (+2)      53-74
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 9-19      SE 5-17      NE 0-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4034                      5951
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 18                     E 10
CWR                50           20           10
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  57688                     83314

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ163-200230-
WESTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...LAKE CLARK NATIONAL PARK AND PRESERVE
746 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           30           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   59-65 (+1)   47 (+1)      59-68
RH % (24H TREND)   36-50 (0)    78 (+5)      38-55
20FTWND(MPH)       S 2-11       S 3-12       SW 1-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5965                      7160
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 10                      SE  8
CWR                20           20           30
LAL                2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  53769                     75660

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$