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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Versions:
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505 FNUS71 KALY 130856 FWSALY Spot Forecast for APB GHERKIN RX...Albany Pine Bush National Weather Service Albany NY 456 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on June 13. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Warmer temperatures return today with dry conditions anticipated as high pressure dominates the region. Shower and thunderstorm chances increase heading into tonight ahead of an upper- level disturbance and cold front that will track through the region tomorrow. Additional showers and thunderstorms, some potentially becoming severe, are anticipated across much of the region tomorrow along and ahead of the front. Dry, seasonable weather then returns for the weekend before Summer-like heat can be expected early next week. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 86. Min humidity........39 percent. Dewpoint............53 increasing to 57 in the late morning and afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 3 to 12 mph increasing to 13 to 15 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1400 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (73000 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............5. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........19 21 22 24 22 23 24 25 25 26 27 27 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............54 57 61 66 70 75 78 81 83 84 85 84 Dewpoint........51 53 55 57 56 57 58 58 58 58 57 57 RH..............96 89 81 73 61 54 50 46 43 41 39 40 20 FT wind dir..SE SE S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 5 5 6 7 7 8 9 9 20 FT wind gust.5 6 6 6 7 8 10 12 14 15 15 16 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.5 2.2 3.7 5.3 6.4 6.6 6.1 5.1 Transp wind dir.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S Transp wind spd.3 5 5 5 6 7 8 10 12 13 15 15 LVORI...........8 6 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 2 4 4 7 13 30 49 64 72 73 66 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of showers early in the morning. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 66. Max humidity........84 percent. Dewpoint............59. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......South winds 7 to 10 mph. Mixing height.......200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (47300 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (500 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............3. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........28 28 32 35 39 35 32 28 32 35 39 46 Weather cov..... SCH Weather type.... RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............83 80 76 73 71 70 69 68 68 67 66 66 Dewpoint........58 59 60 60 60 60 61 61 61 61 61 61 RH..............43 49 58 64 68 71 76 78 78 81 84 84 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..9 9 8 8 8 9 10 9 9 9 8 7 20 FT wind gust.15 15 14 14 15 15 16 16 16 16 14 13 Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 1.9 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.14 13 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 10 LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..47 24 5 1 2 6 6 6 6 5 4 4 Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Showers likely through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 1-8 strikes until 1000, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 77. Min humidity........69 percent. Dewpoint............63. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon, then shifting to the southwest around 7 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the morning. Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 9 to 10 mph shifting to the west 9 to 13 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (25400 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............4. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.28 inches. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........54 61 63 66 68 70 72 76 79 80 82 84 Weather cov.....SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 60 60 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 LAL.............1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Temp............66 67 69 71 73 75 76 76 75 74 73 72 Dewpoint........61 62 63 64 65 65 65 65 65 64 65 65 RH..............84 84 81 79 76 71 69 69 71 71 76 79 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S W W W W W SW 20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 6 5 5 5 7 7 7 6 7 20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 9 9 10 10 12 13 13 12 12 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.5 Transp wind dir.S S S S SW SW W W NW NW W W Transp wind spd.10 9 9 9 9 9 10 12 13 12 10 9 LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Haines index....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 5 7 11 15 19 22 25 25 22 17 12 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR $$ Forecaster...NAS Requested by...Tyler Briggs Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2416080.0/ALY .DELDT 06/13/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org