679
FNUS53 KAPX 161904
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
304 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

...Increasing Heat and Humidity...

.DISCUSSION...Building upper level high pressure will lead to
hot and humid conditions over the next several days. Along with
the heat, periodic showers and thunderstorms are possible.
Temperatures are expected to cool off a little late in the week
and especially next weekend. Southerly winds will shift into the
southwest tonight and remain on the gusty side through Wednesday.



MIZ016-017-021>023-099-170830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
304 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (68).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in .

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (612).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95...except 78-83 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1288).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-170830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
304 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 2 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (58).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in .

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....90-95...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (767).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (46).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1054).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-170830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
304 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer...except 9 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (70).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (779).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 1 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (53).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1261).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-170830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
304 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Slight chance of showers after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer...except 9 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter...except 23 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (72).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except 80-85 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (918).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (64).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....88-93...except 79-84 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1340).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-170830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
304 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (62).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....90-95.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1122).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1342).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.JUNETEENTH...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AJS