Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FNUS74 KBMX 271224
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Shooting Range WF...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
724 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 CDT on June 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered to numerous showers and storms can be expected today
across much of Central Alabama, but widespread wetting rains are
not expected. Min RH values this afternoon will be much higher
than previous days, in the 55 to 65 percent range. Transport winds
will remain light and variable at times through the afternoon
today. Fortunately, we`re not expecting much in the way of gusty
erratic winds with showers and storms today like what was observed
on Wednesday. Scattered showers and storms will remain in the
forecast for Friday, confined more to the southern half of Central
Alabama. Transport winds are expected to increase out of the
southwest between 10 and 15mph by Friday afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms early in the
                    morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................50 percent decreasing to 40 percent late in the
                    morning, then increasing to 60 percent in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................2 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 18 late in the morning.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........95     96     96     92     86
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY
CWR.............50     40     40     60     60
LAL.............2      2      2      4      4
Temp............75     79     82     85     85
RH..............90     79     74     65     65
20 FT wind......S 2    SE 2   SE 2   SE 3   SE 3
20 FT wind gust.       4      6      6      6
20 FT wind dir..180    140    130    130    150
Mix hgt (ft)....900    1800   3100   3200   2000
Transport wind..SW 5   S 6    S 6    S 5    S 6
Dispersion idx..2      3      22     15     14
LVORI...........6      4      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
CWR.................60 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
LAL.................4 until 1900, then 3 until 2200, then 2 until
                    0100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    early in the evening, then becoming light early
                    in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....10 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........86     72     67     67     69     79
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............60     30     20     20     10     10
LAL.............4      3      2      2      1      1
Temp............81     77     73     72     72     71
RH..............74     87     97     97     97     100
20 FT wind......SE 3   SE 3   SE 2   SE 2   SE 3   SE 2
20 FT wind gust.8      7      6      7      8      8
20 FT wind dir..140    140    130    130    130    130
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   600    500    500    500    500
Transport wind..S 5    SE 5   SE 5   SE 6   S 8    SE 7
Dispersion idx..11     1      3      3      5      3
LVORI...........3      5      8      8      7      9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the afternoon, then showers and thunderstorms
                    likely late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 60 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 2 until 1300, then 3 until
                    1600, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 37 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 27 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........79     71     65     65     73     60
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY
CWR.............10     20     20     20     40     60
LAL.............1      2      2      2      3      4
Temp............70     76     82     85     88     87
RH..............100    87     77     67     63     63
20 FT wind......SE 3   SE 3   SE 5   S 5    S 5    S 5
20 FT wind gust.6      7      10     10     10     10
20 FT wind dir..140    140    150    170    170    170
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1200   2300   3100   3100   3400
Transport wind..S 7    S 10   S 12   S 10   S 9    S 8
Dispersion idx..5      7      8      34     30     28
LVORI...........9      5      3      3      2      3

$$
Forecaster...Holmes
Requested by...erik baker
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416802.0/BMX
.DELDT 06/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0