Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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923
FNUS71 KBOX 110414
FWSBOX

Spot Forecast for Richardson WMA Rx Burn...MassWildlife
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1214 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on June 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service.


.DISCUSSION...

Plenty of sunshine on tap for today, but we will see some
scattered diurnal clouds developing later in the morning and
especially by afternoon. Mainly dry weather is expected, but a
brief spot shower can not be ruled out this afternoon. Highs
will be in the middle to upper 70s with light west winds. Minimum
afternoon relative humidity values are expected to drop to
between 45 and 55 percent.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers
                    early in the afternoon. Chance of rain showers
                    late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Dewpoint............52.
Max apparent temp...72.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming west around 5 mph early,
                    then becoming light late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph early,
                    then becoming light late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (25900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 to 9 increasing to 16 early, then increasing
                    to 26 to 29 late in the morning increasing to
                    36 to 37 early decreasing to 20 to 29
                    increasing to 27 to 31 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
CEILING (KFT).......13 increasing to 20 in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 8.0 decreasing to 6.0 early
                    decreasing to 4.5.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  23  29  29  33  33  41  51  59  56  56  51
Weather cov.....                            SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............51  54  59  62  65  67  69  70  71  72  72  72
Dewpoint........50  52  53  53  53  53  53  53  53  53  54  54
RH..............96  93  80  72  65  61  57  55  53  51  53  53
Heat index (F)..51  54  59  62  65  67  69  70  71  72  72  72
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   3   3   2   3
20 FT wind gust.7   10  8   7   8   8   7   7   7   7   6   6
Surface wnd dir.W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   3   3   2   3
Surface wnd gst.7   10  8   7   8   8   7   7   7   7   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.3 1.8 2.9 3.9 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.1 4.5 4.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.5   6   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6
LVORI...........6   4   3   3   2   1   1   2   2   2   1   2
ADI.............4   9   16  26  29  36  37  20  29  27  31  27
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   6   11  17  20  25  26  22  23  20  23  20
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Ceiling (kft)...13  20  20  20  8.0 6.0 4.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
                    early in the evening.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Dewpoint............55.
Max apparent temp...70.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 2 to 5 mph shifting to the north
                    around 2 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................14 to 19 decreasing to 1 to 2 until just after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
CEILING (KFT).......5.0 increasing to 6.0 early in the evening,
                    then increasing to 7.0 early increasing to 8.0
                    late in the evening decreasing to 7.0
                    increasing to 8.0 after midnight decreasing to
                    7.0.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........40  38  36  31  35  34  25  21  18  16  18  21
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............70  69  67  63  61  60  59  58  57  56  56  55
Dewpoint........55  56  57  56  56  56  56  55  55  54  54  54
RH..............59  63  70  78  84  87  90  90  93  93  93  96
Heat index (F)..70  69  67  63  61  60  59  58  57  56  56  55
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   5   5   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Surface wnd spd.3   3   2   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
Surface wnd gst.6   6   6   5   5   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 2.3 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.5   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   4   5   5   5   6   7   6
ADI.............19  14  2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13  9   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   0
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Ceiling (kft)...5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 8.0 7.0 7.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 7.0

$$
Forecaster...Frank
Requested by...Ben Mazzei
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415905.0/BOX
.DELDT 06/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ben.mazzei@mass.gov