Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
570 FNUS73 KDLH 251947 FWSDLH Spot Forecast for Pike Bay Burn...MN DNR Forestry - Cass Lake National Weather Service Duluth MN 247 PM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on June 26. If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653. .DISCUSSION... Fairly quiet weather expected Wednesday with partly sunny skies and light northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Some gusts up to 15mph possible. No precipitation is expected. There should be good mixing and smoke dispersal through the day and a minimum relative humidity around 55 percent. Another fairly quiet day expected Thursday. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........55 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 7 mph. Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (31700-45900 knot-ft) increasing to good (43000-51700 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............62 64 65 66 68 68 68 68 RH..............81 73 70 65 59 59 57 57 20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW N N N 20 FT wind spd..6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.7 3.2 4.2 4.7 4.7 5.0 4.8 Transp wind dir.N N N N N NW NW NW Transp wind spd.15 15 14 13 13 12 12 10 Haines index....3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 SDspl kt-ft/100032 35 38 46 52 47 50 43 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 51. Max humidity........96 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL decreasing to 1600 ft AGL early in the evening. Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 10 mph shifting to the east 2 to 5 mph after 3 am. Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (29800-37800 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (300-10900 knot-ft) early in the evening. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky cover.......PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............69 66 59 55 53 52 RH..............55 61 78 86 93 96 20 ft wind......N 5 N 4 N 2 NW 1 W 1 SE 1 20 ft wind gust.13 9 5 3 3 2 Mix hgt (ft)....4200 1600 400 400 400 300 Transport wind..NW 10 NW 8 NW 7 NW 7 N 6 E 3 Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 SDspl kt-ft/100038 11 3 2 2 1 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 72. Min humidity........53 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 10 mph shifting to the south 12 to 14 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (200-10100 knot-ft) increasing to fair to good (22000-32600 knot-ft) late in the morning, then increasing to good (39900-54500 knot-ft) late in the morning decreasing to fair (25700 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............52 58 65 69 70 70 RH..............96 80 63 55 55 57 20 ft wind......SE 2 SE 3 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 5 20 ft wind gust.3 5 9 12 14 14 Mix hgt (ft)....100 1400 3300 4400 4200 3000 Transport wind..SE 2 SE 8 SE 12 S 14 S 13 S 12 Haines index....2 3 3 3 3 3 SDspl kt-ft/10000 10 33 53 47 30 $$ Forecaster...Ketzel Requested by...David Hoefer Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2416678.0/DLH .DELDT 06/25/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL dave.hoefer@state.mn.us