Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
179 FNUS53 KDTX 230808 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 408 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .DISCUSSION...A cold front sweeps showers and thunderstorms into Ontario this morning and is followed by cooler and less humid air this afternoon through Monday. There is a lingering chance of showers across the Thumb region tonight but dry weather is otherwise expected until the next chance of showers and thunderstorms late Monday night and early Tuesday. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-232115- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 408 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 8 am. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....74-78. 24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler. Min humidity........56-66 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest 15 to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming northwest in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (703). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 am, then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Min temperature.....Around 60. 24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler. Max humidity........84-94 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32). Pcpn amount.........None. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max temperature.....76-80. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........41-51 percent. 24 hr trend......15 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming west early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5870-6370 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph becoming west early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (307). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-232115- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 408 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely until 8 am. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of showers after 8 am. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Max temperature.....74-78. 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler. Min humidity........67-76 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest 15 to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2810-3310 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming northwest in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (698). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of rain showers until 5 am, then slight chance of rain showers. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Min temperature.....Around 60. 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler. Max humidity........87-96 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5 mph after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 pm, then sunny (5-15 percent). Max temperature.....72-76. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........48-58 percent. 24 hr trend......23 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5230-5730 ft agl. Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (412). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-232115- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 408 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 11 am, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....78-82. 24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler. Min humidity........52-62 percent. 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3910-4410 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph becoming northwest in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1009). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Min temperature.....58-64. 24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler. Max humidity........83-93 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max temperature.....76-82. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Min humidity........36-46 percent. 24 hr trend......18 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6330-6830 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (440). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. $$ BT